Trader consensus favors "No" at 73.5% implied probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and effective for 2026 tax filings—will not be repealed before year-end 2026, reflecting stalled bipartisan repeal efforts amid competing legislative priorities. Recent attempts, including the January FULL HOUSE Act (H.R. 6985) by Reps. Miller, Horsford, and Titus, and a March Cruz-Miller bill endorsed by Americans for Tax Reform, faced blocks from House GOP leadership, with amendments rejected by the Rules Committee and no advancement to floor votes or hearings. IRS proposed regulations on April 17 affirm the cap's implementation, underscoring low momentum for change before midterms shift congressional focus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$64,513 Vol.
$64,513 Vol.
Sí
$64,513 Vol.
$64,513 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 73.5% implied probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and effective for 2026 tax filings—will not be repealed before year-end 2026, reflecting stalled bipartisan repeal efforts amid competing legislative priorities. Recent attempts, including the January FULL HOUSE Act (H.R. 6985) by Reps. Miller, Horsford, and Titus, and a March Cruz-Miller bill endorsed by Americans for Tax Reform, faced blocks from House GOP leadership, with amendments rejected by the Rules Committee and no advancement to floor votes or hearings. IRS proposed regulations on April 17 affirm the cap's implementation, underscoring low momentum for change before midterms shift congressional focus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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