Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National record—two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, plus consistent top-10s—drives his trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability for the 2026 Masters winner, but a deep, battle-tested field keeps the race tightly bunched with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), Jon Rahm (7.3%), and defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) in striking distance. McIlroy's recovery from a back injury that sidelined him at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last month tempers his pricing despite grand slam pursuit, while DeChambeau rides recent LIV momentum and Rahm leverages his 2023 triumph. Collin Morikawa's fresh back woes and Texas Open withdrawal add uncertainty mid-pack, amplifying the major's volatility amid Scheffler's slight form dip and favorable par-5 scoring edges for contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$63,447,467 Vol.
$63,447,467 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Akshay Bhatia
3%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio García
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$63,447,467 Vol.
$63,447,467 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Akshay Bhatia
3%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio García
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National record—two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, plus consistent top-10s—drives his trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability for the 2026 Masters winner, but a deep, battle-tested field keeps the race tightly bunched with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), Jon Rahm (7.3%), and defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) in striking distance. McIlroy's recovery from a back injury that sidelined him at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last month tempers his pricing despite grand slam pursuit, while DeChambeau rides recent LIV momentum and Rahm leverages his 2023 triumph. Collin Morikawa's fresh back woes and Texas Open withdrawal add uncertainty mid-pack, amplifying the major's volatility amid Scheffler's slight form dip and favorable par-5 scoring edges for contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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