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¿1, 2 y 3 de diciembre de 2025 los días más calurosos registrados?

Market icon

¿1, 2 y 3 de diciembre de 2025 los días más calurosos registrados?

Cuarto o menor 100.0%

El más caluroso <1%

Segundo más caluroso <1%

Tercer más caluroso <1%

Polymarket

$325,292 Vol.

Cuarto o menor 100.0%

El más caluroso <1%

Segundo más caluroso <1%

Tercer más caluroso <1%

Polymarket

$325,292 Vol.

El más caluroso

$39,390 Vol.

No

Segundo más caluroso

$65,349 Vol.

No

Tercer más caluroso

$101,904 Vol.

No

Cuarto o menor

$118,649 Vol.

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 versus the data points available for all other Decembers on record.

Note: If December 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volumen
$325,292
Fecha de finalización
Jan 10, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 versus the data points available for all other Decembers on record. Note: If December 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿1, 2 y 3 de diciembre de 2025 los días más calurosos registrados?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cuarto o menor" at 100%, followed by "El más caluroso" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿1, 2 y 3 de diciembre de 2025 los días más calurosos registrados?" has generated $325.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿1, 2 y 3 de diciembre de 2025 los días más calurosos registrados?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿1, 2 y 3 de diciembre de 2025 los días más calurosos registrados?" is "Cuarto o menor" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "El más caluroso" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿1, 2 y 3 de diciembre de 2025 los días más calurosos registrados?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.