South Korea's KOSPI index (KS11) has faced intense downward pressure from acute political turmoil, with President Yoon Suk Yeol's short-lived martial law declaration on December 3, 2024, sparking impeachment proceedings and a snap presidential election by March 2025, eroding investor confidence and driving a 10%+ drop in the past month to around 2,430 as of mid-December. Semiconductor giants like Samsung Electronics, comprising over 20% of the index weight, have amplified losses amid weak chip demand and U.S.-China trade tensions, while Bank of Korea's steady 3.5% policy rate offers limited support against global risk-off sentiment tied to Fed rate cut slowdowns. Traders eye Q1 resolution above key levels amid high volatility (V-KOSPI above 25), with upcoming catalysts including January export data, Q4 earnings from chaebols, and election outcomes that could stabilize or further disrupt market cap dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird KOSPI (KS11) über __ Ende Q1 schließen?
Wird KOSPI (KS11) über __ Ende Q1 schließen?
4500
99%
4750
98%
5000
94%
5250
80%
5500
50%
5750
51%
6000
22%
6500
2%
7000
<1%
$3,608 Vol.
4500
99%
4750
98%
5000
94%
5250
80%
5500
50%
5750
51%
6000
22%
6500
2%
7000
<1%
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. The closing price for the final day of trading on or before this date will be used to resolve this market.
If the final trading day of the quarter is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/history/, published under "Historical Data."
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. The closing price for the final day of trading on or before this date will be used to resolve this market.
If the final trading day of the quarter is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/history/, published under "Historical Data."
Resolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea's KOSPI index (KS11) has faced intense downward pressure from acute political turmoil, with President Yoon Suk Yeol's short-lived martial law declaration on December 3, 2024, sparking impeachment proceedings and a snap presidential election by March 2025, eroding investor confidence and driving a 10%+ drop in the past month to around 2,430 as of mid-December. Semiconductor giants like Samsung Electronics, comprising over 20% of the index weight, have amplified losses amid weak chip demand and U.S.-China trade tensions, while Bank of Korea's steady 3.5% policy rate offers limited support against global risk-off sentiment tied to Fed rate cut slowdowns. Traders eye Q1 resolution above key levels amid high volatility (V-KOSPI above 25), with upcoming catalysts including January export data, Q4 earnings from chaebols, and election outcomes that could stabilize or further disrupt market cap dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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