Gold futures (GC) have traded in a $2600–$2780 range recently, with spot prices hovering around $2645 amid a stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields following robust November jobs data that tempered expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. Central bank purchases, particularly from China, and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue supporting prices, driving year-to-date gains exceeding 28% as traders price in a softer monetary policy path. Implied probabilities on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on upside potential, influenced by the December 18 FOMC meeting and January 2025 CPI release, which could signal inflation trajectory and alter rate cut odds—key thresholds include sustained DXY weakness below 105 or yields dipping under 4% on the 10-year Treasury to propel GC toward March-end targets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
Wird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
$2,682,000 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ 5.400 $
1%
↓ $4.300
23%
↓ 4.000 $
4%
↓ 3.600 $
1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
$2,682,000 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ 5.400 $
1%
↓ $4.300
23%
↓ 4.000 $
4%
↓ 3.600 $
1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have traded in a $2600–$2780 range recently, with spot prices hovering around $2645 amid a stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields following robust November jobs data that tempered expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. Central bank purchases, particularly from China, and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue supporting prices, driving year-to-date gains exceeding 28% as traders price in a softer monetary policy path. Implied probabilities on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on upside potential, influenced by the December 18 FOMC meeting and January 2025 CPI release, which could signal inflation trajectory and alter rate cut odds—key thresholds include sustained DXY weakness below 105 or yields dipping under 4% on the 10-year Treasury to propel GC toward March-end targets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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