Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from October's record high above $2,790/oz amid profit-taking and a briefly firmer U.S. dollar, with front-month contracts trading around $2,658/oz as traders price in Federal Reserve easing expectations. Key drivers include persistent central bank demand—especially from China—and safe-haven flows tied to U.S. election uncertainty and Middle East tensions, offsetting elevated real Treasury yields near 2.2%. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on further rate cuts (25 basis points likely in December FOMC), supporting upside potential toward year-end targets. Watch November 5 election results, upcoming CPI data on November 13, and nonfarm payrolls for volatility, with March resolution hinging on inflation trajectory and policy path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
Wird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
$2,946,639 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
<1%
↑ 5.400 $
1%
↓ $4.300
13%
↓ 4.000 $
3%
↓ 3.600 $
1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
$2,946,639 Vol.
↑ $10.000
$321,499 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.000
$361,100 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.600
$105,312 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.400
$80,488 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.200
$90,359 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
$42,571 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
$76,923 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5.600
$68,953 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5.500
$64,533 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5.400 $
$177,555 Vol.
1%
↓ $4.300
$192,831 Vol.
13%
↓ 4.000 $
$227,493 Vol.
3%
↓ 3.600 $
$209,071 Vol.
1%
↓ $3.000
$289,606 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from October's record high above $2,790/oz amid profit-taking and a briefly firmer U.S. dollar, with front-month contracts trading around $2,658/oz as traders price in Federal Reserve easing expectations. Key drivers include persistent central bank demand—especially from China—and safe-haven flows tied to U.S. election uncertainty and Middle East tensions, offsetting elevated real Treasury yields near 2.2%. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on further rate cuts (25 basis points likely in December FOMC), supporting upside potential toward year-end targets. Watch November 5 election results, upcoming CPI data on November 13, and nonfarm payrolls for volatility, with March resolution hinging on inflation trajectory and policy path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$2,946,639Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from October's record high above $2,790/oz amid profit-taking and a briefly firmer U.S. dollar, with front-month contracts trading around $2,658/oz as traders price in Federal Reserve easing expectations. Key drivers include persistent central bank demand—especially from China—and safe-haven flows tied to U.S. election uncertainty and Middle East tensions, offsetting elevated real Treasury yields near 2.2%. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on further rate cuts (25 basis points likely in December FOMC), supporting upside potential toward year-end targets. Watch November 5 election results, upcoming CPI data on November 13, and nonfarm payrolls for volatility, with March resolution hinging on inflation trajectory and policy path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$2,946,639Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from October's record high above $2,790/oz amid profit-taking and a briefly firmer U.S. dollar, with front-month contracts trading around $2,658/oz as traders price in Federal Reserve easing expectations. Key drivers include persistent central bank demand—especially from China—and safe-haven flows tied to U.S. election uncertainty and Middle East tensions, offsetting elevated real Treasury yields near 2.2%. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on further rate cuts (25 basis points likely in December FOMC), supporting upside potential toward year-end targets. Watch November 5 election results, upcoming CPI data on November 13, and nonfarm payrolls for volatility, with March resolution hinging on inflation trajectory and policy path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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