Polymarket traders assign near-100% implied probabilities to outcomes indicating COMEX Gold (GC) futures have already traded below $5,200 and down to $4,300 during March 2026, reflecting a sharp ~11% pullback from mid-month highs near $4,700 amid a firmer U.S. dollar index (DXY ~100) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44%. Markets now price just 25% odds for any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 after January PCE inflation printed at 2.8% year-over-year, elevating real yields and pressuring non-yielding gold despite U.S.-Iran safe-haven flows. Front-month GC settled at $4,492 on March 27; with March 31 resolution imminent, Fed Chair Powell's March 30 speech and February PCE release pose key catalysts for final volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
Wird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
$3,121,950 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
<1%
↑ 5.400 $
<1%
↓ $4.300
8%
↓ 4.000 $
3%
↓ 3.600 $
<1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
$3,121,950 Vol.
↑ $10.000
$324,547 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.000
$362,178 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.600
$107,212 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.400
$80,488 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.200
$105,983 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
$42,651 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
$77,025 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5.600
$71,647 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5.500
$66,218 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5.400 $
$185,149 Vol.
<1%
↓ $4.300
$199,790 Vol.
8%
↓ 4.000 $
$235,490 Vol.
3%
↓ 3.600 $
$224,582 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.000
$400,746 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders assign near-100% implied probabilities to outcomes indicating COMEX Gold (GC) futures have already traded below $5,200 and down to $4,300 during March 2026, reflecting a sharp ~11% pullback from mid-month highs near $4,700 amid a firmer U.S. dollar index (DXY ~100) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44%. Markets now price just 25% odds for any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 after January PCE inflation printed at 2.8% year-over-year, elevating real yields and pressuring non-yielding gold despite U.S.-Iran safe-haven flows. Front-month GC settled at $4,492 on March 27; with March 31 resolution imminent, Fed Chair Powell's March 30 speech and February PCE release pose key catalysts for final volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$3,121,950Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders assign near-100% implied probabilities to outcomes indicating COMEX Gold (GC) futures have already traded below $5,200 and down to $4,300 during March 2026, reflecting a sharp ~11% pullback from mid-month highs near $4,700 amid a firmer U.S. dollar index (DXY ~100) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44%. Markets now price just 25% odds for any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 after January PCE inflation printed at 2.8% year-over-year, elevating real yields and pressuring non-yielding gold despite U.S.-Iran safe-haven flows. Front-month GC settled at $4,492 on March 27; with March 31 resolution imminent, Fed Chair Powell's March 30 speech and February PCE release pose key catalysts for final volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$3,121,950Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign near-100% implied probabilities to outcomes indicating COMEX Gold (GC) futures have already traded below $5,200 and down to $4,300 during March 2026, reflecting a sharp ~11% pullback from mid-month highs near $4,700 amid a firmer U.S. dollar index (DXY ~100) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44%. Markets now price just 25% odds for any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 after January PCE inflation printed at 2.8% year-over-year, elevating real yields and pressuring non-yielding gold despite U.S.-Iran safe-haven flows. Front-month GC settled at $4,492 on March 27; with March 31 resolution imminent, Fed Chair Powell's March 30 speech and February PCE release pose key catalysts for final volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen