Gold futures (GC) have retreated 4% from all-time highs above $2,780/oz in the week following the U.S. presidential election, as Donald Trump's victory spurred dollar strength—DXY up 2.5%—and lifted 10-year Treasury yields to 4.45%, compressing real rates and diminishing gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. Persistent central bank buying, especially from China (adding 20 tonnes in October per WGC data), and elevated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provide floor support around $2,600. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, with implied probabilities weighing Fed funds path expectations ahead of the December 18 FOMC meeting and January 10 CPI release, which could signal three or fewer 2025 rate cuts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
Wird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
$2,663,644 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ 5.400 $
1%
↓ $4.300
16%
↓ 4.000 $
5%
↓ 3.600 $
1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
$2,663,644 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ 5.400 $
1%
↓ $4.300
16%
↓ 4.000 $
5%
↓ 3.600 $
1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have retreated 4% from all-time highs above $2,780/oz in the week following the U.S. presidential election, as Donald Trump's victory spurred dollar strength—DXY up 2.5%—and lifted 10-year Treasury yields to 4.45%, compressing real rates and diminishing gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. Persistent central bank buying, especially from China (adding 20 tonnes in October per WGC data), and elevated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provide floor support around $2,600. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, with implied probabilities weighing Fed funds path expectations ahead of the December 18 FOMC meeting and January 10 CPI release, which could signal three or fewer 2025 rate cuts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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