Gold (GC) futures have plunged nearly 15% in March 2026 from intraday peaks above $5,300, settling around $4,492 per ounce as of March 28 amid a surging U.S. dollar and aggressive deleveraging of overextended positions, despite initial safe-haven bids from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and oil supply risks. This counterintuitive drop during an oil shock reflects trader consensus prioritizing real yield pressures and quarter-end positioning over geopolitics. Polymarket sentiment embeds low implied probabilities for reclaiming higher thresholds by March 31, with focus now on potential late-month PCE inflation data—due around March 28—to gauge Fed funds path adjustments, alongside any de-escalation in Middle East conflicts that could cap upside.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
Wird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
$3,304,290 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
<1%
↑ 5.400 $
<1%
↓ $4.300
8%
↓ 4.000 $
2%
↓ 3.600 $
<1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
$3,304,290 Vol.
↑ $10.000
$324,555 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.000
$365,474 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.600
$107,212 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.400
$80,498 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.200
$106,219 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
$69,778 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
$107,045 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5.600
$72,615 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5.500
$67,140 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5.400 $
$196,786 Vol.
<1%
↓ $4.300
$201,184 Vol.
8%
↓ 4.000 $
$246,343 Vol.
2%
↓ 3.600 $
$229,901 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.000
$490,225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have plunged nearly 15% in March 2026 from intraday peaks above $5,300, settling around $4,492 per ounce as of March 28 amid a surging U.S. dollar and aggressive deleveraging of overextended positions, despite initial safe-haven bids from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and oil supply risks. This counterintuitive drop during an oil shock reflects trader consensus prioritizing real yield pressures and quarter-end positioning over geopolitics. Polymarket sentiment embeds low implied probabilities for reclaiming higher thresholds by March 31, with focus now on potential late-month PCE inflation data—due around March 28—to gauge Fed funds path adjustments, alongside any de-escalation in Middle East conflicts that could cap upside.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$3,304,290Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have plunged nearly 15% in March 2026 from intraday peaks above $5,300, settling around $4,492 per ounce as of March 28 amid a surging U.S. dollar and aggressive deleveraging of overextended positions, despite initial safe-haven bids from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and oil supply risks. This counterintuitive drop during an oil shock reflects trader consensus prioritizing real yield pressures and quarter-end positioning over geopolitics. Polymarket sentiment embeds low implied probabilities for reclaiming higher thresholds by March 31, with focus now on potential late-month PCE inflation data—due around March 28—to gauge Fed funds path adjustments, alongside any de-escalation in Middle East conflicts that could cap upside.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$3,304,290Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold (GC) futures have plunged nearly 15% in March 2026 from intraday peaks above $5,300, settling around $4,492 per ounce as of March 28 amid a surging U.S. dollar and aggressive deleveraging of overextended positions, despite initial safe-haven bids from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and oil supply risks. This counterintuitive drop during an oil shock reflects trader consensus prioritizing real yield pressures and quarter-end positioning over geopolitics. Polymarket sentiment embeds low implied probabilities for reclaiming higher thresholds by March 31, with focus now on potential late-month PCE inflation data—due around March 28—to gauge Fed funds path adjustments, alongside any de-escalation in Middle East conflicts that could cap upside.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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