A month into the US-Israeli air campaign launched February 28 against Iranian nuclear, missile, and command infrastructure—killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—combined forces conducted fresh strikes on March 25 targeting ballistic missile bases like Imam Javad, amid Iran's retaliatory missile barrages on Israel and US regional bases. President Trump floated seizing Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal and deployed 3,500 Marines via USS Tripoli, while presenting a 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan demanding nuclear dismantlement and Axis of Resistance curbs; Tehran has not formally responded. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE signal strikes after absorbing attacks, with UK, France, and Germany ready for defensive actions. Regional talks in Pakistan loom as escalation risks persist through April 30 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWhich countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$466,111 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Saudi Arabia
29%
UAE
20%
Bahrain
9%
Any E.U. Country
9%
Kuwait
7%
Qatar
6%
Jordan
6%
France
5%
Turkey
4%
Oman
4%
UK
3%
Germany
3%
Canada
1%
$466,111 Vol.
Saudi Arabia
$75,056 Vol.
29%
UAE
$38,513 Vol.
20%
Bahrain
$780 Vol.
9%
Any E.U. Country
$5,431 Vol.
9%
Kuwait
$1,273 Vol.
7%
Qatar
$727 Vol.
6%
Jordan
$926 Vol.
6%
France
$148,533 Vol.
5%
Turkey
$15,006 Vol.
4%
Oman
$340 Vol.
4%
UK
$103,183 Vol.
3%
Germany
$76,379 Vol.
3%
Canada
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A month into the US-Israeli air campaign launched February 28 against Iranian nuclear, missile, and command infrastructure—killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—combined forces conducted fresh strikes on March 25 targeting ballistic missile bases like Imam Javad, amid Iran's retaliatory missile barrages on Israel and US regional bases. President Trump floated seizing Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal and deployed 3,500 Marines via USS Tripoli, while presenting a 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan demanding nuclear dismantlement and Axis of Resistance curbs; Tehran has not formally responded. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE signal strikes after absorbing attacks, with UK, France, and Germany ready for defensive actions. Regional talks in Pakistan loom as escalation risks persist through April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volumen
$466,111Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A month into the US-Israeli air campaign launched February 28 against Iranian nuclear, missile, and command infrastructure—killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—combined forces conducted fresh strikes on March 25 targeting ballistic missile bases like Imam Javad, amid Iran's retaliatory missile barrages on Israel and US regional bases. President Trump floated seizing Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal and deployed 3,500 Marines via USS Tripoli, while presenting a 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan demanding nuclear dismantlement and Axis of Resistance curbs; Tehran has not formally responded. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE signal strikes after absorbing attacks, with UK, France, and Germany ready for defensive actions. Regional talks in Pakistan loom as escalation risks persist through April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$466,111Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A month into the US-Israeli air campaign launched February 28 against Iranian nuclear, missile, and command infrastructure—killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—combined forces conducted fresh strikes on March 25 targeting ballistic missile bases like Imam Javad, amid Iran's retaliatory missile barrages on Israel and US regional bases. President Trump floated seizing Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal and deployed 3,500 Marines via USS Tripoli, while presenting a 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan demanding nuclear dismantlement and Axis of Resistance curbs; Tehran has not formally responded. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE signal strikes after absorbing attacks, with UK, France, and Germany ready for defensive actions. Regional talks in Pakistan loom as escalation risks persist through April 30 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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