Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez to lead Washington's 3rd Congressional District primary on August 6, driven by her incumbency edge, superior fundraising exceeding $1.5 million, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls like the July Northwest Progressive Institute survey showing her at 48% versus Joe Kent's 22% and Jesse Jensen's 16%. In the state's top-two system, Perez is poised to secure first place outright, while Kent—backed by national Republicans including Trump allies—and Jensen compete fiercely for the second general election spot amid low Democratic challengers. Ballots began mailing July 19, with early returns potentially shifting odds as voter turnout solidifies in this swing district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMarie Gluesenkamp Perez
91%
John Braun
80%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
39%
Antony Barran
30%
Brent Hennrich
23%
Lawrence Kellogg
10%
Eric Vaughan
9%
$0.00 Vol.
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
91%
John Braun
80%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
39%
Antony Barran
30%
Brent Hennrich
23%
Lawrence Kellogg
10%
Eric Vaughan
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez to lead Washington's 3rd Congressional District primary on August 6, driven by her incumbency edge, superior fundraising exceeding $1.5 million, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls like the July Northwest Progressive Institute survey showing her at 48% versus Joe Kent's 22% and Jesse Jensen's 16%. In the state's top-two system, Perez is poised to secure first place outright, while Kent—backed by national Republicans including Trump allies—and Jensen compete fiercely for the second general election spot amid low Democratic challengers. Ballots began mailing July 19, with early returns potentially shifting odds as voter turnout solidifies in this swing district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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