Trader consensus favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff against Rep. Julie Johnson on May 26, reflecting his polling lead, fundraising dominance, and name recognition from the 2024 U.S. Senate race. In the March 3 first-round primary for the newly redrawn, safely Democratic Dallas County district, neither candidate exceeded 50%, but Allred topped early voting returns and advanced alongside Johnson, per official results certified shortly after. A GBAO poll shows Allred ahead 58%-30% among likely voters; he raised $5.4 million versus Johnson's $1.5 million, bolstered by endorsements from Dallas County Commissioner John Wiley Price and state Reps. Rhetta Bowers and Aicha Davis. Johnson holds support from Equality PAC and the Texas Coalition of Black Democrats amid mutual attack ads on records and investments, with early voting for the runoff approaching as a pivotal factor.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertColin Allred 71%
Julie Johnson 28%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,935 Vol.
$54,935 Vol.
Colin Allred
71%
Julie Johnson
28%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 71%
Julie Johnson 28%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,935 Vol.
$54,935 Vol.
Colin Allred
71%
Julie Johnson
28%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff against Rep. Julie Johnson on May 26, reflecting his polling lead, fundraising dominance, and name recognition from the 2024 U.S. Senate race. In the March 3 first-round primary for the newly redrawn, safely Democratic Dallas County district, neither candidate exceeded 50%, but Allred topped early voting returns and advanced alongside Johnson, per official results certified shortly after. A GBAO poll shows Allred ahead 58%-30% among likely voters; he raised $5.4 million versus Johnson's $1.5 million, bolstered by endorsements from Dallas County Commissioner John Wiley Price and state Reps. Rhetta Bowers and Aicha Davis. Johnson holds support from Equality PAC and the Texas Coalition of Black Democrats amid mutual attack ads on records and investments, with early voting for the runoff approaching as a pivotal factor.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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