In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus gives former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred a strong 74.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 26.5%, driven by Allred's 44% plurality in the March 3 first-round balloting, superior name recognition from his competitive 2024 Senate campaign, and key endorsements including those from eliminated rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez plus the Texas AFL-CIO last week. Recent polls, such as those tracked by the New York Times, show Allred maintaining a lead in the redrawn Dallas-area district amid Johnson's institutional D.C. backing but narrower voter base. Quintanilla and Hafeez linger at negligible odds post-elimination, with early voting underway as the contest tightens ahead of resolution on the certified nominee.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertColin Allred 75%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$71,924 Vol.
$71,924 Vol.
Colin Allred
75%
Julie Johnson
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 75%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$71,924 Vol.
$71,924 Vol.
Colin Allred
75%
Julie Johnson
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus gives former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred a strong 74.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 26.5%, driven by Allred's 44% plurality in the March 3 first-round balloting, superior name recognition from his competitive 2024 Senate campaign, and key endorsements including those from eliminated rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez plus the Texas AFL-CIO last week. Recent polls, such as those tracked by the New York Times, show Allred maintaining a lead in the redrawn Dallas-area district amid Johnson's institutional D.C. backing but narrower voter base. Quintanilla and Hafeez linger at negligible odds post-elimination, with early voting underway as the contest tightens ahead of resolution on the certified nominee.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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