Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary nomination following his 44% first-place finish in the March 3, 2026, primary over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, advancing both to the May 26 runoff in the redrawn Dallas-area district. Allred's edge stems from superior name recognition gained from prior House service in neighboring TX-32 and recent statewide Senate campaigns, plus endorsements since late March from third-place Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and fourth-place Zeeshan Hafeez (9%), consolidating over 22% of primary voters. Johnson benefits from incumbency and institutional support but trails in trader assessments amid low-turnout runoff dynamics; early voting begins May 18.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertColin Allred 71%
Julie Johnson 28%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,927 Vol.
$54,927 Vol.
Colin Allred
71%
Julie Johnson
28%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 71%
Julie Johnson 28%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,927 Vol.
$54,927 Vol.
Colin Allred
71%
Julie Johnson
28%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary nomination following his 44% first-place finish in the March 3, 2026, primary over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, advancing both to the May 26 runoff in the redrawn Dallas-area district. Allred's edge stems from superior name recognition gained from prior House service in neighboring TX-32 and recent statewide Senate campaigns, plus endorsements since late March from third-place Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and fourth-place Zeeshan Hafeez (9%), consolidating over 22% of primary voters. Johnson benefits from incumbency and institutional support but trails in trader assessments amid low-turnout runoff dynamics; early voting begins May 18.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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