Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus edge at 38.5% implied probability to win the FL-23 Democratic primary on August 18, driven by his strong Q3 2025 fundraising haul exceeding $370,000 and established name recognition from defending the competitive South Florida district in 2024. Progressive challenger Oliver Adams Larkin trails at 25%, boosted by recent Democratic Socialists of America national endorsement and local chapter support, capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction with Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance and AIPAC ties amid Gaza tensions. A March Center for Strategic Politics poll showed Moskowitz leading 45%-11%, but the fragmented field and ideological divide keep the race contested ahead of early voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$18,516 Vol.
$18,516 Vol.
Jared Moskowitz
36%
Oliver Adams Larkin
35%
$18,516 Vol.
$18,516 Vol.
Jared Moskowitz
36%
Oliver Adams Larkin
35%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus edge at 38.5% implied probability to win the FL-23 Democratic primary on August 18, driven by his strong Q3 2025 fundraising haul exceeding $370,000 and established name recognition from defending the competitive South Florida district in 2024. Progressive challenger Oliver Adams Larkin trails at 25%, boosted by recent Democratic Socialists of America national endorsement and local chapter support, capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction with Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance and AIPAC ties amid Gaza tensions. A March Center for Strategic Politics poll showed Moskowitz leading 45%-11%, but the fragmented field and ideological divide keep the race contested ahead of early voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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