Polymarket traders are pricing a strong likelihood for Tesla (TSLA) to close above key thresholds on March 25, driven primarily by post-election euphoria linking Elon Musk's Trump alliance to accelerated regulatory approvals for Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxi deployment. Shares have surged over 50% since early November to around $345, reflecting market-implied odds of sustained momentum amid easing Fed policy supporting high-growth tech. However, uncertainty looms from Q4 earnings on January 29—watch for delivery beats above 500k units and optimistic 2025 guidance—and potential margin erosion from price cuts. Historical volatility post-earnings averages 10%, with resolution hinging on closing price above the strike on Nasdaq.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert360 $
99%
370 $
95%
$380
73%
390 $
29%
$400
5%
$1,793 Vol.
360 $
99%
370 $
95%
$380
73%
390 $
29%
$400
5%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a strong likelihood for Tesla (TSLA) to close above key thresholds on March 25, driven primarily by post-election euphoria linking Elon Musk's Trump alliance to accelerated regulatory approvals for Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxi deployment. Shares have surged over 50% since early November to around $345, reflecting market-implied odds of sustained momentum amid easing Fed policy supporting high-growth tech. However, uncertainty looms from Q4 earnings on January 29—watch for delivery beats above 500k units and optimistic 2025 guidance—and potential margin erosion from price cuts. Historical volatility post-earnings averages 10%, with resolution hinging on closing price above the strike on Nasdaq.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen