Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
>7m 100.0%
<4m <1%
4-5m <1%
5-6m <1%
$368,479 Vol.
$368,479 Vol.
<4m
No
4-5m
No
5-6m
No
6-7m
No
>7m
Yes
>7m 100.0%
<4m <1%
4-5m <1%
5-6m <1%
$368,479 Vol.
$368,479 Vol.
<4m
No
4-5m
No
5-6m
No
6-7m
No
>7m
Yes
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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