Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” which opened in July to strong critical consensus and robust box office returns, has established itself as the clear early frontrunner in the 2027 Best Picture market at roughly 47.5% implied probability. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s recent Academy success with “Oppenheimer,” the film’s technical ambition, and its broad voter visibility ahead of fall festivals. Dune: Part Three sits second at 15.5% as the anticipated December capstone to a previously nominated franchise, while La Bola Negra, Wild Horse Nine, and Digger occupy single-digit odds on the strength of director pedigrees and pre-release tracking. With most contenders yet to screen widely, upcoming Venice, Telluride, and Toronto premieres plus guild nominations will likely determine whether any challenger can close the gap before nominations lock in early 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOscars 2027: Bester Film
Die Odyssee 48%
Dune: Teil Drei 16%
La Bola Negra 12%
Wild Horse Nine 8%
$159,934 Vol.
$159,934 Vol.
Die Odyssee
48%
Dune: Teil Drei
16%
La Bola Negra
12%
Wild Horse Nine
8%
The Debut
6%
Fjord
6%
Digger
4%
Project Hail Mary
2%
The Invite
1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
<1%
Tony
<1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
<1%
Behemoth!
<1%
The Drama
<1%
Josephine
<1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
Vaterland
<1%
All of a Sudden
<1%
Michael
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
Saturn Return
<1%
Die Odyssee 48%
Dune: Teil Drei 16%
La Bola Negra 12%
Wild Horse Nine 8%
$159,934 Vol.
$159,934 Vol.
Die Odyssee
48%
Dune: Teil Drei
16%
La Bola Negra
12%
Wild Horse Nine
8%
The Debut
6%
Fjord
6%
Digger
4%
Project Hail Mary
2%
The Invite
1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
<1%
Tony
<1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
<1%
Behemoth!
<1%
The Drama
<1%
Josephine
<1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
Vaterland
<1%
All of a Sudden
<1%
Michael
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
Saturn Return
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” which opened in July to strong critical consensus and robust box office returns, has established itself as the clear early frontrunner in the 2027 Best Picture market at roughly 47.5% implied probability. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s recent Academy success with “Oppenheimer,” the film’s technical ambition, and its broad voter visibility ahead of fall festivals. Dune: Part Three sits second at 15.5% as the anticipated December capstone to a previously nominated franchise, while La Bola Negra, Wild Horse Nine, and Digger occupy single-digit odds on the strength of director pedigrees and pre-release tracking. With most contenders yet to screen widely, upcoming Venice, Telluride, and Toronto premieres plus guild nominations will likely determine whether any challenger can close the gap before nominations lock in early 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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