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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?

Market icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$230,290 Vol.

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$230,290 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Volumen
$230,290
Enddatum
Jan 2, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 31, 2025, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Up

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Up

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Volumen
$230,290
Enddatum
Jan 2, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 31, 2025, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, January 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Up

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Up

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?" ist ein täglich-Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler Anteile darauf kaufen und verkaufen, ob der Preis von S&P 500 höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als sein Eröffnungspreis über das im Titel angegebene täglich-Fenster abschließen wird. Die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit liegt bei 100% für „Up". Ein Preis von 100% bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Die Preise werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler auf Live-Preisbewegungen von S&P 500 reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $230.3K generiert. S&P 500 Up-or-Down-Märkte ziehen aktive Händler an, die in Echtzeit auf Live-Preisbewegungen reagieren – dieses Aktivitätsniveau stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Up/Down-Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preise verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite handeln.

Um auf „S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?" zu handeln, entscheiden Sie, ob der Preis von S&P 500 um 12:00 Uhr ET am January 2 höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als um 12:00 Uhr ET am January 2 sein wird. Kaufen Sie „Up", wenn Sie glauben, der Preis wird steigen, oder „Down", wenn Sie glauben, er wird fallen. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr Ergebnis bei der Auflösung richtig, zahlt jeder Anteil $1,00 aus. Liegt es falsch, sind die Anteile $0 wert.

Dieses täglich-Fenster wurde geschlossen und aufgelöst. Das endgültige Ergebnis war „Up". Verwenden Sie die Zeitnavigation oben auf dieser Seite, um benachbarte Fenster anzuzeigen oder den aktuellen Live-Markt zu finden.

Der Markt „S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?" wird auf Basis eines Vergleichs des S&P 500-Preises um 12:00 Uhr ET am January 2 gegenüber 12:00 Uhr ET am January 2 aufgelöst, unter Verwendung der Binance SPX/USDT 1-Minuten-Kerzenschlusspreise. Ist der Preis am January 2 höher, ist das Ergebnis „Up"; ist er niedriger, „Down"; bei Gleichheit wird 50-50 aufgelöst. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite einsehen.