**Strong critical reception, solid word-of-mouth, and a B+ CinemaScore have supported Resident Evil’s holdover performance, positioning the horror reboot for a relatively healthy fourth weekend domestically.** Zach Cregger’s film opened to a franchise-best $60.2 million in its first weekend (Sept. 18-20), then dropped 62% to $23.0 million in weekend two before easing to a 45% decline with $12.6 million in weekend three (Oct. 2-4), bringing the domestic total to roughly $126 million. Traders appear to view these results—combined with a 95% Rotten Tomatoes score and strong audience metrics—as evidence of better-than-average legs for an R-rated horror title, favoring the 7m+ outcome at 67.5% implied probability over lower brackets. Recent global momentum, including the China debut adding tens of millions and pushing the worldwide cume past $245 million toward a new personal record for Cregger, reinforces industry confidence in the film’s commercial viability. With October competition and typical horror drop patterns, the market consensus reflects expectations that positive reviews and franchise appeal will sustain mid-single-digit or higher earnings in the Oct. 9-11 frame, though any sharper-than-expected second-weekend-style decline could shift sentiment quickly.
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