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"Project Hail Mary" 4. Wochenende Abendkasse

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"Project Hail Mary" 4. Wochenende Abendkasse

Ended: Apr. 13

Apr. 20

Apr. 20

Apr. 20

Apr. 27

Ended: Apr. 13

Apr. 20

Apr. 20

Apr. 20

Apr. 27

>22 Mio. 100.0%

<18 Mio. <1%

18-20 Mio. <1%

20-22 Mio. <1%

Polymarket

$200,830 Vol.

>22 Mio. 100.0%

<18 Mio. <1%

18-20 Mio. <1%

20-22 Mio. <1%

Polymarket

$200,830 Vol.

<18 Mio.

$12,036 Vol.

Nein

18-20 Mio.

$11,711 Vol.

Nein

20-22 Mio.

$13,094 Vol.

Nein

>22 Mio.

$163,989 Vol.

Ja

This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 4th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" boasts trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 4th weekend domestic gross exceeding $22 million, propelled by exceptional word-of-mouth and elite box office legs unseen since "Oppenheimer." The sci-fi adaptation held 67% in weekend 2 to $54 million, then 59% to $32 million in weekend 3 despite competition, signaling sustained audience enthusiasm via strong CinemaScore grades and IMAX dominance. Fresh estimates peg the April 10-12 frame at $24.6 million with a stellar 78% hold, pushing domestic cume past $256 million. Realistic upsets—sub-$22 million—would require anomalous drops from bad weather or surprise holdover challengers, but the film's multiplier trajectory (over 3.1x opening) renders them improbable.

This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 4th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$200,830
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 4th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 4th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" boasts trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 4th weekend domestic gross exceeding $22 million, propelled by exceptional word-of-mouth and elite box office legs unseen since "Oppenheimer." The sci-fi adaptation held 67% in weekend 2 to $54 million, then 59% to $32 million in weekend 3 despite competition, signaling sustained audience enthusiasm via strong CinemaScore grades and IMAX dominance. Fresh estimates peg the April 10-12 frame at $24.6 million with a stellar 78% hold, pushing domestic cume past $256 million. Realistic upsets—sub-$22 million—would require anomalous drops from bad weather or surprise holdover challengers, but the film's multiplier trajectory (over 3.1x opening) renders them improbable.

This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 4th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$200,830
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 4th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„"Project Hail Mary" 4. Wochenende Abendkasse" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „>22 Mio." mit 100%, gefolgt von „<18 Mio." mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „"Project Hail Mary" 4. Wochenende Abendkasse" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $200.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 6, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „"Project Hail Mary" 4. Wochenende Abendkasse" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „"Project Hail Mary" 4. Wochenende Abendkasse" ist „>22 Mio." mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „<18 Mio." mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „"Project Hail Mary" 4. Wochenende Abendkasse" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.