Rep. Kevin Hern dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Oklahoma's open Republican U.S. Senate primary, following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March confirmation as DHS Secretary, which vacated the seat. Hern announced his bid on March 11, filed candidacy on April 2 amid the start of statewide filing, and garnered pivotal endorsements from President Trump, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and NRSC Chair Tim Scott, signaling strong party establishment and MAGA support. Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell lingers at 4.3% on exploratory rumors despite opting out of the gubernatorial race, while remaining candidates hold negligible shares in this low-competition early field. The June 16 primary looms, with odds hinging on potential late high-profile entries or polling shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPrimary Winner des republikanischen Senats von Oklahoma
Primary Winner des republikanischen Senats von Oklahoma
Kevin Hern 89%
Matt Pinnell 4.1%
Wayne Lonny Washington 1.5%
John M. O’Connor 1.2%
$55,254 Vol.
$55,254 Vol.
Kevin Hern
89%
Matt Pinnell
4%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
John M. O’Connor
1%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Tammy Swearengin
1%
Nick Hankins
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
Kevin Hern 89%
Matt Pinnell 4.1%
Wayne Lonny Washington 1.5%
John M. O’Connor 1.2%
$55,254 Vol.
$55,254 Vol.
Kevin Hern
89%
Matt Pinnell
4%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
John M. O’Connor
1%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Tammy Swearengin
1%
Nick Hankins
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Oklahoma's open Republican U.S. Senate primary, following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March confirmation as DHS Secretary, which vacated the seat. Hern announced his bid on March 11, filed candidacy on April 2 amid the start of statewide filing, and garnered pivotal endorsements from President Trump, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and NRSC Chair Tim Scott, signaling strong party establishment and MAGA support. Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell lingers at 4.3% on exploratory rumors despite opting out of the gubernatorial race, while remaining candidates hold negligible shares in this low-competition early field. The June 16 primary looms, with odds hinging on potential late high-profile entries or polling shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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