Rep. Kevin Hern's 90.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from his March 11 campaign launch for the open seat vacated by Sen. Markwayne Mullin's nomination as DHS Secretary, followed by President Trump's endorsement on March 14 and backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Tim Scott, and Club for Growth. As former House Republican Study Committee chair with strong fundraising and conservative credentials, Hern has effectively cleared much of the field early, ahead of the June primary. Challengers like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell trail far behind; shifts could arise from a high-profile late entrant, Mullin's nomination failing confirmation, or an unforeseen scandal impacting Hern's momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPrimary Winner des republikanischen Senats von Oklahoma
Primary Winner des republikanischen Senats von Oklahoma
Kevin Hern 91%
Nick Hankins 4.1%
Matt Pinnell 2.4%
Wayne Lonny Washington 1.7%
$10,843 Vol.
$10,843 Vol.
Kevin Hern
91%
Nick Hankins
4%
Matt Pinnell
2%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
John M. O’Connor
2%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Tammy Swearengin
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
Kevin Hern 91%
Nick Hankins 4.1%
Matt Pinnell 2.4%
Wayne Lonny Washington 1.7%
$10,843 Vol.
$10,843 Vol.
Kevin Hern
91%
Nick Hankins
4%
Matt Pinnell
2%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
John M. O’Connor
2%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Tammy Swearengin
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern's 90.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from his March 11 campaign launch for the open seat vacated by Sen. Markwayne Mullin's nomination as DHS Secretary, followed by President Trump's endorsement on March 14 and backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Tim Scott, and Club for Growth. As former House Republican Study Committee chair with strong fundraising and conservative credentials, Hern has effectively cleared much of the field early, ahead of the June primary. Challengers like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell trail far behind; shifts could arise from a high-profile late entrant, Mullin's nomination failing confirmation, or an unforeseen scandal impacting Hern's momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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