Name: Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich
Start: 2026-01-14T00:15:24.207772Z
End: 2026-02-10T00:00:00Z

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This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in January 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for January 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on February 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If the report for January 2026 is not released by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the last figure published.

You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

2,0–2,2 %

<1,7 %

2,6–2,8 %

2,9–3,1 %

2,3–2,5 %

3,2 %+

1,7–1,9 %

Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentinian, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in September 2025 September 2025 (Variación % mensual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. 

You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

September Inflation Argentina - Monthly

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentinian, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in October 2025 (Variación % mensual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for October 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on November 12, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. 

You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

October Inflation Argentina - Monthly

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentinian, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in November 2025 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for November 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on December 11, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. 

You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

November Inflation Argentina - Monthly

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Wird die Inflation im Jahr 2026 mehr als 3 % erreichen?

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.

The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html

Wird die jährliche Inflationsrate der Eurozone im Jahr 2026 zwischen 1,9 % und 2,1 % liegen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics fails to release any monthly report on the Consumer Price Index by 11:59PM ET on the scheduled release date between December 1, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If an announcement is made by the White House or the BLS that the monthly CPI release will be delayed or cancelled altogether, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the BLS or a consensus of credible reporting. 

BLS verzögert eine weitere Veröffentlichung des Verbraucherpreisindex vor 2027?

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on February 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765).  The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on February 1, 2026. If no data for February 1 is released by February 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/6)


Wird der Medianwert eines Hauses in den USA bis zum 1. Februar über 418.000 $ liegen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time. 

The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Wird die US-Arbeitslosenquote im Jahr 2026 mindestens 5,0 % erreichen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

<1,7 %
$517 Umsatz
<1%

1,7–1,9 %
$865 Umsatz
4%

2,0–2,2 %
$835 Umsatz
23%

2,3–2,5 %
$759 Umsatz
51%

2,6–2,8 %
$819 Umsatz
28%

2,9–3,1 %
$841 Umsatz
4%

3,2 %+
$635 Umsatz
3%

Marktkontext

Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

Regeln

Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

Marktkontext

Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

Über

Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

<1,7 %$517 Umsatz<1%Kaufen Ja0.7¢Kaufen Nein99.8¢

1,7–1,9 %$865 Umsatz4%Kaufen Ja6.2¢Kaufen Nein98.9¢

2,0–2,2 %$835 Umsatz23%Kaufen Ja29.9¢Kaufen Nein83.4¢

2,3–2,5 %$759 Umsatz51%Kaufen Ja55¢Kaufen Nein54¢

2,6–2,8 %$819 Umsatz28%Kaufen Ja34¢Kaufen Nein78¢

2,9–3,1 %$841 Umsatz4%Kaufen Ja6.1¢Kaufen Nein98.8¢

3,2 %+$635 Umsatz3%Kaufen Ja4.9¢Kaufen Nein99.4¢

Marktkontext

Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

Regeln

Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

Marktkontext

Januar Inflation Argentinien - Monatlich

Über

<1,7 %
$517 Umsatz
<1%

1,7–1,9 %
$865 Umsatz
4%

2,0–2,2 %
$835 Umsatz
23%

2,3–2,5 %
$759 Umsatz
51%

2,6–2,8 %
$819 Umsatz
28%

2,9–3,1 %
$841 Umsatz
4%

3,2 %+
$635 Umsatz
3%