Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.5% implied probability for a 13°C high in Munich today, closely aligned with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) model output statistics (MOS) and ICON forecasts projecting peak temperatures around 13°C at Munich Airport station amid partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 20-30 km/h. Mild air advection from Atlantic lows supports this modest spring warmup, consistent with April climatology averaging 12-14°C highs, but persistent cloud cover and diurnal mixing limit upside potential. Recent overnight runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles refined the outlook from a broader 12-15°C spread, boosting 13°C while retaining 29.5% odds for 14°C if afternoon sun breaks enhance surface heating. Real-time observations will clarify by evening resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on April 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
13°C 49%
14°C 41%
15°C 9%
12°C 1.0%
$59,285 Vol.
$59,285 Vol.
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
49%
14°C
41%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 49%
14°C 41%
15°C 9%
12°C 1.0%
$59,285 Vol.
$59,285 Vol.
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
49%
14°C
41%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.5% implied probability for a 13°C high in Munich today, closely aligned with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) model output statistics (MOS) and ICON forecasts projecting peak temperatures around 13°C at Munich Airport station amid partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 20-30 km/h. Mild air advection from Atlantic lows supports this modest spring warmup, consistent with April climatology averaging 12-14°C highs, but persistent cloud cover and diurnal mixing limit upside potential. Recent overnight runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles refined the outlook from a broader 12-15°C spread, boosting 13°C while retaining 29.5% odds for 14°C if afternoon sun breaks enhance surface heating. Real-time observations will clarify by evening resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen