Latest KNMI guidance as of April 5 projects a high of 16-19°C at Schiphol Airport on April 9 under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of light showers and light southerly winds, a slight cooldown from mid-week peaks of 18-22°C driven by high pressure ridging. The evenly matched 26.5% implied probabilities across 11-20°C+ outcomes reflect substantial ensemble spread in ECMWF and HARMONIE models, where uncertainties in cloud cover variability, shower timing, and the exact strength of warm southerly airflow versus potential cooler incursions differentiate outcomes—more sun favors the upper end near 19°C, while persistent overcast or buien could pull toward 14-16°C. The 15% for ≤10°C signals low risk given above-normal temperatures from recent Atlantic blocking patterns, though daily forecast updates through April 8 could sharpen consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 9?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 9?
20°C or higher 26%
17°C 22%
18°C 22%
16°C 21%
NEU
NEU
9. Apr. 2026
10°C or below
4%
11°C
14%
12°C
14%
13°C
16%
14°C
18%
15°C
20%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
18%
20°C or higher
26%
20°C or higher 26%
17°C 22%
18°C 22%
16°C 21%
NEU
NEU
9. Apr. 2026
10°C or below
$253 Vol.
4%
11°C
$5 Vol.
14%
12°C
$5 Vol.
14%
13°C
$5 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance as of April 5 projects a high of 16-19°C at Schiphol Airport on April 9 under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of light showers and light southerly winds, a slight cooldown from mid-week peaks of 18-22°C driven by high pressure ridging. The evenly matched 26.5% implied probabilities across 11-20°C+ outcomes reflect substantial ensemble spread in ECMWF and HARMONIE models, where uncertainties in cloud cover variability, shower timing, and the exact strength of warm southerly airflow versus potential cooler incursions differentiate outcomes—more sun favors the upper end near 19°C, while persistent overcast or buien could pull toward 14-16°C. The 15% for ≤10°C signals low risk given above-normal temperatures from recent Atlantic blocking patterns, though daily forecast updates through April 8 could sharpen consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 5, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$268Enddatum
9. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 5, 2026, 12:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance as of April 5 projects a high of 16-19°C at Schiphol Airport on April 9 under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of light showers and light southerly winds, a slight cooldown from mid-week peaks of 18-22°C driven by high pressure ridging. The evenly matched 26.5% implied probabilities across 11-20°C+ outcomes reflect substantial ensemble spread in ECMWF and HARMONIE models, where uncertainties in cloud cover variability, shower timing, and the exact strength of warm southerly airflow versus potential cooler incursions differentiate outcomes—more sun favors the upper end near 19°C, while persistent overcast or buien could pull toward 14-16°C. The 15% for ≤10°C signals low risk given above-normal temperatures from recent Atlantic blocking patterns, though daily forecast updates through April 8 could sharpen consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$268Enddatum
9. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 5, 2026, 12:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI guidance as of April 5 projects a high of 16-19°C at Schiphol Airport on April 9 under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of light showers and light southerly winds, a slight cooldown from mid-week peaks of 18-22°C driven by high pressure ridging. The evenly matched 26.5% implied probabilities across 11-20°C+ outcomes reflect substantial ensemble spread in ECMWF and HARMONIE models, where uncertainties in cloud cover variability, shower timing, and the exact strength of warm southerly airflow versus potential cooler incursions differentiate outcomes—more sun favors the upper end near 19°C, while persistent overcast or buien could pull toward 14-16°C. The 15% for ≤10°C signals low risk given above-normal temperatures from recent Atlantic blocking patterns, though daily forecast updates through April 8 could sharpen consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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