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Gold (GC) Auf oder Ab am 27. Februar?

Market icon

Gold (GC) Auf oder Ab am 27. Februar?

Feb 27

Mar 2

Feb 27

Mar 2

Steigt

>99% chance
Polymarket

$625 Vol.

Steigt

>99% chance
Polymarket

$625 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Friday, February 27, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Friday, February 27, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. If CME does not publish the settlement price for the listed trading day by 11:59 PM ET of the next trading day, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the Active Month changes between the previous trading day and Friday, February 27, 2026, the market will continue using the same contract month used on the previous trading day for the purposes of determining whether the settlement price moved up or down.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$625
Enddatum
Feb 27, 2026
Erstellt am
Feb 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Friday, February 27, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract. This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Friday, February 27, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. If CME does not publish the settlement price for the listed trading day by 11:59 PM ET of the next trading day, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the Active Month changes between the previous trading day and Friday, February 27, 2026, the market will continue using the same contract month used on the previous trading day for the purposes of determining whether the settlement price moved up or down. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Friday, February 27, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Friday, February 27, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. If CME does not publish the settlement price for the listed trading day by 11:59 PM ET of the next trading day, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the Active Month changes between the previous trading day and Friday, February 27, 2026, the market will continue using the same contract month used on the previous trading day for the purposes of determining whether the settlement price moved up or down.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$625
Enddatum
Feb 27, 2026
Erstellt am
Feb 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Friday, February 27, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract. This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Friday, February 27, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. If CME does not publish the settlement price for the listed trading day by 11:59 PM ET of the next trading day, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the Active Month changes between the previous trading day and Friday, February 27, 2026, the market will continue using the same contract month used on the previous trading day for the purposes of determining whether the settlement price moved up or down. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Gold (GC) Auf oder Ab am 27. Februar?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Bitcoin's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Steigt." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Gold (GC) Auf oder Ab am 27. Februar?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Gold (GC) Auf oder Ab am 27. Februar?," decide whether you believe Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 27 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 27. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Gold (GC) Auf oder Ab am 27. Februar?" is 100% for "Steigt," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 100% chance that Bitcoin's price will finish steigt over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Gold (GC) Auf oder Ab am 27. Februar?" market resolves based on a comparison of Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 27 versus noon ET on February 27, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the February 27 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.