Germany's 71% implied probability to win Group E stems from their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign, topping Group A with 15 of 18 points including a 6-0 rout of Slovakia, bolstered by a deep squad under Julian Nagelsmann despite March friendlies marred by injuries to Jamal Musiala, Aleksandar Pavlovic, and others—replacements like Angelo Stiller stepped in as they build form ahead of the June kickoff in Philadelphia stadiums. Ecuador's 21.5% reflects their strong CONMEBOL qualifiers and defensive solidity from 2022's round-of-16 run, positioning them as trader-favored for second amid a competitive battle with Ivory Coast, who impressed with a 4-0 friendly win over South Korea last week after an unbeaten African qualifying group. Curaçao, the smallest nation ever to qualify via CONCACAF, trails at 1.4% as clear minnows.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDeutschland 71%
Ecuador 22%
Elfenbeinküste 7.3%
Curaçao 2.4%
$18,126 Vol.
$18,126 Vol.
Deutschland
71%
Ecuador
22%
Elfenbeinküste
7%
Curaçao
2%
Deutschland 71%
Ecuador 22%
Elfenbeinküste 7.3%
Curaçao 2.4%
$18,126 Vol.
$18,126 Vol.
Deutschland
71%
Ecuador
22%
Elfenbeinküste
7%
Curaçao
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Germany's 71% implied probability to win Group E stems from their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign, topping Group A with 15 of 18 points including a 6-0 rout of Slovakia, bolstered by a deep squad under Julian Nagelsmann despite March friendlies marred by injuries to Jamal Musiala, Aleksandar Pavlovic, and others—replacements like Angelo Stiller stepped in as they build form ahead of the June kickoff in Philadelphia stadiums. Ecuador's 21.5% reflects their strong CONMEBOL qualifiers and defensive solidity from 2022's round-of-16 run, positioning them as trader-favored for second amid a competitive battle with Ivory Coast, who impressed with a 4-0 friendly win over South Korea last week after an unbeaten African qualifying group. Curaçao, the smallest nation ever to qualify via CONCACAF, trails at 1.4% as clear minnows.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen