Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 77% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their five-time champion pedigree, elite talent like Vinicius Junior, Raphinha, and emerging forwards Endrick and Igor Thiago under Carlo Ancelotti, despite Rodrygo's season-ending ACL tear and Neymar's ongoing fitness doubts excluding him from March friendlies. Morocco holds second at 19.5% on their 2022 semifinal run and transition threats from Hakimi and Diaz, but Walid Regragui's abrupt March 5 resignation—replaced by U-23 coach Mohamed Ouahbi—introduces tactical uncertainty just months from kickoff. Brazil's recent 1-2 friendly loss to 10-man France last week exposed finishing woes, yet depth sustains favoritism; Scotland's set-piece grit earns 3.5% for potential upsets, while Haiti's diaspora speed offers slim spoiler chances at 0.4%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertBrasilien 77%
Marokko 20%
Schottland 3.5%
Haiti <1%
$68,384 Vol.
$68,384 Vol.
Brasilien
77%
Marokko
20%
Schottland
4%
Haiti
<1%
Brasilien 77%
Marokko 20%
Schottland 3.5%
Haiti <1%
$68,384 Vol.
$68,384 Vol.
Brasilien
77%
Marokko
20%
Schottland
4%
Haiti
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 77% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their five-time champion pedigree, elite talent like Vinicius Junior, Raphinha, and emerging forwards Endrick and Igor Thiago under Carlo Ancelotti, despite Rodrygo's season-ending ACL tear and Neymar's ongoing fitness doubts excluding him from March friendlies. Morocco holds second at 19.5% on their 2022 semifinal run and transition threats from Hakimi and Diaz, but Walid Regragui's abrupt March 5 resignation—replaced by U-23 coach Mohamed Ouahbi—introduces tactical uncertainty just months from kickoff. Brazil's recent 1-2 friendly loss to 10-man France last week exposed finishing woes, yet depth sustains favoritism; Scotland's set-piece grit earns 3.5% for potential upsets, while Haiti's diaspora speed offers slim spoiler chances at 0.4%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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