France's exceptional squad depth, recent international form, and status as defending champions have driven trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability that they top Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The draw pits them against Senegal, Norway, and Iraq, with matches scheduled across MetLife Stadium and other Eastern venues in mid-to-late June. Norway's potent attack led by Erling Haaland offers a credible threat for second place at 22.5%, while Senegal's organized defense and recent Africa Cup of Nations pedigree support their 8% chance. Iraq remains a long shot at under 1%, facing the steepest challenge in a group where historical head-to-head results and current FIFA rankings heavily favor the European sides.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFrankreich 70%
Norwegen 23%
Senegal 8%
Irak <1%
$153,806 Vol.
$153,806 Vol.
27. Juni 2026
Frankreich
70%
Norwegen
23%
Senegal
8%
Irak
1%
Frankreich 70%
Norwegen 23%
Senegal 8%
Irak <1%
$153,806 Vol.
$153,806 Vol.
27. Juni 2026
Frankreich
$69,585 Vol.
70%
Norwegen
$18,149 Vol.
23%
Senegal
$20,076 Vol.
8%
Irak
$45,995 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's exceptional squad depth, recent international form, and status as defending champions have driven trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability that they top Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The draw pits them against Senegal, Norway, and Iraq, with matches scheduled across MetLife Stadium and other Eastern venues in mid-to-late June. Norway's potent attack led by Erling Haaland offers a credible threat for second place at 22.5%, while Senegal's organized defense and recent Africa Cup of Nations pedigree support their 8% chance. Iraq remains a long shot at under 1%, facing the steepest challenge in a group where historical head-to-head results and current FIFA rankings heavily favor the European sides.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volumen
$153,806Enddatum
27. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's exceptional squad depth, recent international form, and status as defending champions have driven trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability that they top Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The draw pits them against Senegal, Norway, and Iraq, with matches scheduled across MetLife Stadium and other Eastern venues in mid-to-late June. Norway's potent attack led by Erling Haaland offers a credible threat for second place at 22.5%, while Senegal's organized defense and recent Africa Cup of Nations pedigree support their 8% chance. Iraq remains a long shot at under 1%, facing the steepest challenge in a group where historical head-to-head results and current FIFA rankings heavily favor the European sides.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$153,806Enddatum
27. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's exceptional squad depth, recent international form, and status as defending champions have driven trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability that they top Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The draw pits them against Senegal, Norway, and Iraq, with matches scheduled across MetLife Stadium and other Eastern venues in mid-to-late June. Norway's potent attack led by Erling Haaland offers a credible threat for second place at 22.5%, while Senegal's organized defense and recent Africa Cup of Nations pedigree support their 8% chance. Iraq remains a long shot at under 1%, facing the steepest challenge in a group where historical head-to-head results and current FIFA rankings heavily favor the European sides.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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