Polymarket traders price Mexico's February unemployment rate as a tight contest, with ≤2.4% at 39.5%, 2.6% at 37%, and 2.5% at 26%, signaling consensus around January's 2.6% print amid stable labor conditions. IMSS data showed 118,000 formal jobs added in February—the strongest monthly gain since July—bolstering bets on marginal improvement, while manufacturing PMI slipped to 51.1 from 52.4, tempering downside risks. Economist forecasts cluster at 2.5%-2.6%, differentiating via seasonal adjustments and informal sector trends. INEGI releases the official figure on March 28; a print below 2.5% could validate lower bins, but persistent services strength keeps 2.6% competitive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertFebruar Arbeitslosenquote - Mexiko
Februar Arbeitslosenquote - Mexiko
≤2,4 % 40%
2,6 % 37.0%
2,5 % 26%
2,7 % <1%
$22,009 Vol.
$22,009 Vol.
≤2,4 %
40%
2,5 %
26%
2,6 %
37%
2,7 %
1%
2,8 %
1%
2,9 %
<1%
≥3,0 %
<1%
≤2,4 % 40%
2,6 % 37.0%
2,5 % 26%
2,7 % <1%
$22,009 Vol.
$22,009 Vol.
≤2,4 %
40%
2,5 %
26%
2,6 %
37%
2,7 %
1%
2,8 %
1%
2,9 %
<1%
≥3,0 %
<1%
The resolution source for this market is the National Survey of Occupation and Employment, published by INEGI every month at https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enoe/15ymas/
The next data release is scheduled for March 27, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price Mexico's February unemployment rate as a tight contest, with ≤2.4% at 39.5%, 2.6% at 37%, and 2.5% at 26%, signaling consensus around January's 2.6% print amid stable labor conditions. IMSS data showed 118,000 formal jobs added in February—the strongest monthly gain since July—bolstering bets on marginal improvement, while manufacturing PMI slipped to 51.1 from 52.4, tempering downside risks. Economist forecasts cluster at 2.5%-2.6%, differentiating via seasonal adjustments and informal sector trends. INEGI releases the official figure on March 28; a print below 2.5% could validate lower bins, but persistent services strength keeps 2.6% competitive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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