Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 10 markets tilts toward perennial powerhouses Sweden (45% implied probability), Ukraine (42%), and Italy (38% yes odds), fueled by their track records of televote dominance and deep talent pools despite no entries announced. With Eurovision 2025 set for May in Basel, the winner's host advantage—auto-final qualification and home crowd edge—looms as a pivotal swing factor. Early national selection buzz from Nordic broadcasters like SVT and NRK has lifted regional bets, but markets remain speculative; January 2026 finals could introduce wildcard artists, dramatically shifting odds as Big 5 nations secure final spots.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$51,291 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
83%

Greece
81%

Denmark
80%

France
77%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
73%

Australia
69%

Italy
64%

Bulgaria
42%

Czechia
40%

Cyprus
39%

Moldova
37%

Latvia
31%

Malta
30%

Croatia
30%

Luxembourg
17%

Romania
23%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
15%

Serbia
15%

Lithuania
14%

Portugal
14%

Georgia
14%

Belgium
14%

Germany
13%

Switzerland
13%

Poland
13%

Montenegro
12%

Azerbaijan
9%

Estonia
8%

San Marino
8%

Austria
5%
$51,291 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
83%

Greece
81%

Denmark
80%

France
77%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
73%

Australia
69%

Italy
64%

Bulgaria
42%

Czechia
40%

Cyprus
39%

Moldova
37%

Latvia
31%

Malta
30%

Croatia
30%

Luxembourg
17%

Romania
23%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
15%

Serbia
15%

Lithuania
14%

Portugal
14%

Georgia
14%

Belgium
14%

Germany
13%

Switzerland
13%

Poland
13%

Montenegro
12%

Azerbaijan
9%

Estonia
8%

San Marino
8%

Austria
5%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 10 markets tilts toward perennial powerhouses Sweden (45% implied probability), Ukraine (42%), and Italy (38% yes odds), fueled by their track records of televote dominance and deep talent pools despite no entries announced. With Eurovision 2025 set for May in Basel, the winner's host advantage—auto-final qualification and home crowd edge—looms as a pivotal swing factor. Early national selection buzz from Nordic broadcasters like SVT and NRK has lifted regional bets, but markets remain speculative; January 2026 finals could introduce wildcard artists, dramatically shifting odds as Big 5 nations secure final spots.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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