Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history, including wins in 2022 and 2024 plus consistent top-10s, bolstered by his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons to prioritize rest ahead of the green jacket defense. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV victories and improved Masters finishes fueling his 7.5% share, Jon Rahm's surging LIV form outpacing early 2026 rivals at 7.4%, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's 6.5% backing despite lingering back concerns from The Players. Elite iron play and par-5 scoring from Aberg, Schauffele, and Fitzpatrick underscore the field's depth and Augusta's volatility for upsets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,208,293 Vol.
$61,208,293 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
3%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jason Day
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,208,293 Vol.
$61,208,293 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
3%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jason Day
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history, including wins in 2022 and 2024 plus consistent top-10s, bolstered by his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons to prioritize rest ahead of the green jacket defense. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV victories and improved Masters finishes fueling his 7.5% share, Jon Rahm's surging LIV form outpacing early 2026 rivals at 7.4%, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's 6.5% backing despite lingering back concerns from The Players. Elite iron play and par-5 scoring from Aberg, Schauffele, and Fitzpatrick underscore the field's depth and Augusta's volatility for upsets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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