ChatGPT's 100% implied probability as the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on March 17 stems from its explosive mobile adoption, fueled by OpenAI's recent voice mode rollout and GPT-4o model enhancements that boosted daily active users past 100 million. Trader consensus reflects App Store rankings data showing ChatGPT surging ahead of rivals like Google Gemini and Threads amid AI hype, with no credible leaks or charts indicating otherwise. This positioning holds firm absent a freak viral event—such as CapCut's editing tools exploding via TikTok trends or Tubi's free streaming drawing cord-cutters—but OpenAI's first-mover lead in consumer AI makes upsets improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertChatGPT 100.0%
Google Gemini <1%
Threads <1%
Tubi: Movies & Live TV <1%
$29,110 Vol.
$29,110 Vol.

Google Gemini
No

Threads
No

Tubi: Movies & Live TV
No

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor
No

ChatGPT
Yes

No

Claude by Anthropic
No

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
No
ChatGPT 100.0%
Google Gemini <1%
Threads <1%
Tubi: Movies & Live TV <1%
$29,110 Vol.
$29,110 Vol.

Google Gemini
No

Threads
No

Tubi: Movies & Live TV
No

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor
No

ChatGPT
Yes

No

Claude by Anthropic
No

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 13, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ChatGPT's 100% implied probability as the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on March 17 stems from its explosive mobile adoption, fueled by OpenAI's recent voice mode rollout and GPT-4o model enhancements that boosted daily active users past 100 million. Trader consensus reflects App Store rankings data showing ChatGPT surging ahead of rivals like Google Gemini and Threads amid AI hype, with no credible leaks or charts indicating otherwise. This positioning holds firm absent a freak viral event—such as CapCut's editing tools exploding via TikTok trends or Tubi's free streaming drawing cord-cutters—but OpenAI's first-mover lead in consumer AI makes upsets improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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