low-prob-test-1-kes

Beigetreten März 2026·32 Aufrufe

$1,106.20

Positionen Wert

$83.36

Größter Gewinn

129

Gehandelte Märkte

Gesamt-PnL: -$400.43
Gesamtvolumen: 14K

Gewinn/Verlust

-$7.37

Letzter Tag

Markt

Durchschnitt

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 17.1¢

258.0 Anteile

17.1¢

28.5¢

$73.67$29.55 (66.96%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 17.1¢

258.0 Anteile

$73.67$29.55 (66.96%)

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 21¢

240.2 Anteile

21¢

27.5¢

$66.06$15.61 (30.95%)

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 21¢

240.2 Anteile

$66.06$15.61 (30.95%)

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Yes 30¢

128.3 Anteile

30¢

41¢

$52.61$14.12 (36.67%)

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Yes 30¢

128.3 Anteile

$52.61$14.12 (36.67%)

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Yes 28¢

138.6 Anteile

28¢

32.5¢

$45.05$6.24 (16.07%)

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Yes 28¢

138.6 Anteile

$45.05$6.24 (16.07%)

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No 37¢

104.5 Anteile

37¢

41.5¢

$43.36$4.70 (12.16%)

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No 37¢

104.5 Anteile

$43.36$4.70 (12.16%)

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Yes 34¢

112.1 Anteile

34¢

38.5¢

$43.15$5.04 (13.24%)

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Yes 34¢

112.1 Anteile

$43.15$5.04 (13.24%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 21¢

183.6 Anteile

21¢

23.5¢

$43.14$4.59 (11.9%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 21¢

183.6 Anteile

$43.14$4.59 (11.9%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 16¢

143.4 Anteile

16¢

28.8¢

$41.31$18.39 (80.27%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 16¢

143.4 Anteile

$41.31$18.39 (80.27%)

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

No 33.5¢

113.8 Anteile

33.5¢

35.4¢

$40.21$2.10 (5.52%)

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

No 33.5¢

113.8 Anteile

$40.21$2.10 (5.52%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 36¢

106.9 Anteile

36¢

36.5¢

$39.03$0.53 (1.39%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 36¢

106.9 Anteile

$39.03$0.53 (1.39%)

Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?

Yes 19¢

196.1 Anteile

19¢

19.5¢

$38.24$0.98 (2.63%)

Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?

Yes 19¢

196.1 Anteile

$38.24$0.98 (2.63%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 38¢

100.7 Anteile

38¢

37.5¢

$37.77-$0.50 (-1.32%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 38¢

100.7 Anteile

$37.77-$0.50 (-1.32%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

No 27¢

142.0 Anteile

27¢

26.5¢

$37.63-$0.71 (-1.85%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

No 27¢

142.0 Anteile

$37.63-$0.71 (-1.85%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 29¢

133.7 Anteile

29¢

27.5¢

$36.78-$2.01 (-5.17%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 29¢

133.7 Anteile

$36.78-$2.01 (-5.17%)

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes 31¢

116.7 Anteile

31¢

31.5¢

$36.76$0.58 (1.61%)

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes 31¢

116.7 Anteile

$36.76$0.58 (1.61%)

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 29¢

124.5 Anteile

29¢

28.5¢

$35.48-$0.62 (-1.72%)

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 29¢

124.5 Anteile

$35.48-$0.62 (-1.72%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 16.7¢

263.6 Anteile

16.7¢

12.5¢

$32.82-$11.20 (-25.45%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 16.7¢

263.6 Anteile

$32.82-$11.20 (-25.45%)

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27¢

143.1 Anteile

27¢

22.5¢

$32.20-$6.44 (-16.67%)

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27¢

143.1 Anteile

$32.20-$6.44 (-16.67%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 34¢

102.9 Anteile

34¢

29.5¢

$30.37-$4.63 (-13.23%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 34¢

102.9 Anteile

$30.37-$4.63 (-13.23%)

Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?

Yes 11¢

272.7 Anteile

11¢

10¢

$27.27-$2.73 (-9.09%)

Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?

Yes 11¢

272.7 Anteile

$27.27-$2.73 (-9.09%)