Trader consensus favors Delcy Rodríguez at 65.5% as Venezuela's head of state by end-2026, reflecting her consolidation of power since becoming interim president after Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture in a January 3 raid and Supreme Court-ordered succession. Recent military reshuffles, including dismissing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and top commanders on March 18-20, signal strengthened institutional control amid U.S.-backed stabilization pressures. Maduro's 16.4% implies low odds of release or reinstatement from U.S. custody, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (12%) and Edmundo González (1.3%) lag due to limited leverage against chavista dominance. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic talks and potential elections could shift dynamics, but Rodríguez's balancing of reforms and hardliners drives her lead.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertVenezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?
Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 16.4%
María Corina Machado 12%
Edmundo González 1.3%
$78,137,871 Vol.
$78,137,871 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
66%
Nicolás Maduro
16%
María Corina Machado
12%
Edmundo González
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
1%
Kein Staatschef
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 16.4%
María Corina Machado 12%
Edmundo González 1.3%
$78,137,871 Vol.
$78,137,871 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,251,225 Vol.
66%
Nicolás Maduro
$882,770 Vol.
16%
María Corina Machado
$838,613 Vol.
12%
Edmundo González
$445,107 Vol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,251,328 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$686,636 Vol.
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$448,014 Vol.
1%
Kein Staatschef
$739,322 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$651,985 Vol.
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$863,229 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,059,241 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,627,194 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,144,410 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$2,747,396 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$1,967,274 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$30,534,127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus favors Delcy Rodríguez at 65.5% as Venezuela's head of state by end-2026, reflecting her consolidation of power since becoming interim president after Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture in a January 3 raid and Supreme Court-ordered succession. Recent military reshuffles, including dismissing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and top commanders on March 18-20, signal strengthened institutional control amid U.S.-backed stabilization pressures. Maduro's 16.4% implies low odds of release or reinstatement from U.S. custody, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (12%) and Edmundo González (1.3%) lag due to limited leverage against chavista dominance. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic talks and potential elections could shift dynamics, but Rodríguez's balancing of reforms and hardliners drives her lead.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$78,137,871Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus favors Delcy Rodríguez at 65.5% as Venezuela's head of state by end-2026, reflecting her consolidation of power since becoming interim president after Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture in a January 3 raid and Supreme Court-ordered succession. Recent military reshuffles, including dismissing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and top commanders on March 18-20, signal strengthened institutional control amid U.S.-backed stabilization pressures. Maduro's 16.4% implies low odds of release or reinstatement from U.S. custody, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (12%) and Edmundo González (1.3%) lag due to limited leverage against chavista dominance. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic talks and potential elections could shift dynamics, but Rodríguez's balancing of reforms and hardliners drives her lead.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volumen
$78,137,871Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Delcy Rodríguez at 65.5% as Venezuela's head of state by end-2026, reflecting her consolidation of power since becoming interim president after Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture in a January 3 raid and Supreme Court-ordered succession. Recent military reshuffles, including dismissing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and top commanders on March 18-20, signal strengthened institutional control amid U.S.-backed stabilization pressures. Maduro's 16.4% implies low odds of release or reinstatement from U.S. custody, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (12%) and Edmundo González (1.3%) lag due to limited leverage against chavista dominance. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic talks and potential elections could shift dynamics, but Rodríguez's balancing of reforms and hardliners drives her lead.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen