Turkey’s constitution sets Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term to conclude no earlier than 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028 and no national vote, impeachment process, or formal removal mechanism in place before the end of 2026. Recent court rulings removing opposition Republican People’s Party leadership have further consolidated the ruling party’s position without altering the timeline. Speculation about possible snap elections or health concerns remains unconfirmed by official actions and has not produced any procedural steps toward an early exit. Traders’ 92.5% consensus on “No” reflects these structural and political barriers, though late developments such as a sudden health event or constitutional change could still shift the outlook.