Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp energy price increases, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 euro-area inflation projection upward to 2.6 percent while downgrading growth forecasts to around 0.9 percent. At its March and April 2026 meetings, the Governing Council held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent, emphasizing a strictly data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing to any easing path. Official statements and staff projections highlight upside risks to price stability from second-round effects, shifting money-market pricing and economist surveys toward expectations of at least one rate hike rather than any cut this year. This consensus underpins the high implied probability against a 2026 rate reduction.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$27,989 Vol.
$27,989 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$27,989 Vol.
$27,989 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp energy price increases, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 euro-area inflation projection upward to 2.6 percent while downgrading growth forecasts to around 0.9 percent. At its March and April 2026 meetings, the Governing Council held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent, emphasizing a strictly data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing to any easing path. Official statements and staff projections highlight upside risks to price stability from second-round effects, shifting money-market pricing and economist surveys toward expectations of at least one rate hike rather than any cut this year. This consensus underpins the high implied probability against a 2026 rate reduction.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$27,989শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp energy price increases, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 euro-area inflation projection upward to 2.6 percent while downgrading growth forecasts to around 0.9 percent. At its March and April 2026 meetings, the Governing Council held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent, emphasizing a strictly data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing to any easing path. Official statements and staff projections highlight upside risks to price stability from second-round effects, shifting money-market pricing and economist surveys toward expectations of at least one rate hike rather than any cut this year. This consensus underpins the high implied probability against a 2026 rate reduction.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$27,989শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp energy price increases, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 euro-area inflation projection upward to 2.6 percent while downgrading growth forecasts to around 0.9 percent. At its March and April 2026 meetings, the Governing Council held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00 percent, emphasizing a strictly data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing to any easing path. Official statements and staff projections highlight upside risks to price stability from second-round effects, shifting money-market pricing and economist surveys toward expectations of at least one rate hike rather than any cut this year. This consensus underpins the high implied probability against a 2026 rate reduction.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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