google_one_tap

US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?

Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?

Will a hurricane form by August 31?

Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?

Will Pope Leo visit another country first?

Will Trump say "Trillion / Billion / Million" 5+ times during ANTIFA Roundtable on October 8?

Will Pope Leo visit Spain first?

Will Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?

Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? 

Will Taylor Swift say "Trump" or "Kamala" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?

Israeli parliament dissolved before August?

Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Will turnout be between 72% and 75% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?

Will Trump say "American Flag" 3+ times during ANTIFA Roundtable on October 8?

Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?

Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?

Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Will the next government of Suriname be something else?

Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

mllmnr12345

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Will Trump say "Iran / Israel" 15+ times during his NATO speech?

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? 

Will Trump say "Biden" during his NATO speech?

Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?

动态

授权代币交易支出

部署智能合约钱包以启用交易

签署消息以生成您的 API 密钥

启用交易

资金已激活

你的账户需要迁移到新钱包才能继续交易。先部署新的存款钱包，然后把资金转过去。

升级你的账户

请先激活你的资金

迁移完成

钱包仍在部署中

转账未完成，请重试。

根据你的预测买“是”或“否”份额。赔率会随着其他交易者的交易实时变动。

1. 选一个预测盘口

1.逛逛我们的预测盘口

用加密货币、借记卡或银行转账给账号充值，然后就可以开始交易。

2. 交易

随时卖掉你的“是”或“否”份额，或者等盘口封盘后，凭赢利的份额兑换 1 美元/份。注册账号，几分钟就能完成第一笔交易。

3.兑付

排行榜

你的会话需要重置才能进行交易。请退出登录然后重新登录。

连接问题

，并声明你 (i) 不是美国人；(ii) 不在美国、法国或其他受限管辖区；(iii) 未使用 VPN 或其他方式规避限制。如果你不遵守这些条款，Polymarket 保留将你的钱包设为仅限关仓模式的权利。

在 Polymarket 上交易

，证明你不是美国居民，且不位于美国或任何受限地区。

如需继续使用本网站的交易功能，请填写

需要自我认证

，包括如果你认为收到此消息是错误的。

由于可能违反我们的服务条款，你的账户已被设为仅限关仓模式。你可以关闭现有持仓，但无法开新仓。如需了解更多信息，请联系

交易已暂停

以下地区无法进行交易。禁止使用任何手段规避或试图规避这些限制。

仅查看模式

{total} 个订单中有 {failed} 个取消失败，请重试。

{count} 个订单

赢了之后，奖金自动到账。不需要手动操作。

自动兑换已关闭

自动兑换已开启

自动兑换失败

重新启用自动兑换

自动兑换奖金

立即收款

出了点问题

你可以平掉这些已结算的持仓，确认最终亏损金额。

亏损的预测盘口

兑换失败

此操作会合并所有符合条件的盘口持仓。

合并 ${amount} 持仓

您的奖金已准备就绪，继续交易吧！

我刚在 @Polymarket 赢了 ${amount}！

快来和我一起，把你的预判变成真金白银：

你的 Polymarket 钱包地址

我刚在 @Polymarket 创建了一笔组合交易。

来做反向交易：

我刚在 @Polymarket 上交易了。

来跟我交易：

来看看我在 @Polymarket 上的盈亏吧。

来看看我在 @Polymarket 上的资料吧。

来看看 @Polymarket 上的这笔交易。

组合已更新

报价在成交前已过期。你的仓位没有变化，请重试以获取最新报价。

未能完成卖出

组合交易失败

把多项预测合并成一笔交易，获得更高的潜在收益

组合订单

把 1 份“是”和 1 份“否”合并成 1 USDC。不想持仓时，这么做能省成本。

合并份额

订单簿

重大价格滑点

把 1 USDC 拆成 1 份“是”和 1  份“否”。这么做能省成本，方法是先都买了，再卖掉另一边就行

拆分份额

交易即表示你同意本使用条款，包括你不是 (i) 美国人且 (ii) 不在美国、法国或其他受限地区。

要开始使用升级后的系统进行交易,请在钱包中批准迁移。这是一次性操作。

完成迁移

你的 USDC.e 将按 1:1 比例转换为 pUSD。零手续费,涵盖所有仓位,可全额赎回。

余额迁移

请登录你的账户,以便我们迁移余额并批准新合约。

请登录以继续

你的余额和仓位已迁移完成。一切就绪。

我们对底层做了一些调整,让交易更加稳定可靠。