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50号提案 预测与赔率

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Survivor 50 Winner

Survivor 50 Winner

89%

Aubry Bracco

$2M 交易量

$284K Liq.

7

Ends 7 天内

CA-50 House Election Winner

CA-50 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$32.8K 交易量

$19.3K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

33%

December 31, 2026

$183K 交易量

$267 Liq.

24

Ends 4 个月前

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

98%

No change

$25M 交易量

$2M today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

83%

↓ $95

$15M 交易量

$661K today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends 19 天内

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

92%

No change

$5M 交易量

$164K today

$603K Liq.

1

Ends 3 个月内

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

84%

↑ $105

$16M 交易量

$160K today

$995K Liq.

2

Ends 大约 2 个月内

What price will Solana hit in May?

What price will Solana hit in May?

68%

↑ 100

$921K 交易量

$78.7K today

$405K Liq.

Ends 19 天内

Highest temperature in Denver on May 13?

Highest temperature in Denver on May 13?

100%

66°F or higher

$196K 交易量

$75.2K today

$169K Liq.

Ends 大约 8 小时内

Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?

Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?

99%

56°F or higher

$37.8K 交易量

$145K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in May 2026?

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in May 2026?

74%

↓ $4.50

$80.9K 交易量

$13.7K Liq.

Ends 19 天内

What price will XRP hit May 11-17?

What price will XRP hit May 11-17?

51%

↑ 1.50

$69.7K 交易量

$142K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 12?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 12?

100%

62-63°F

$48.5K 交易量

$11.9K Liq.

Ends 大约 16 小时前

XRP above ___ on May 15?

XRP above ___ on May 15?

99%

0.90

$33.0K 交易量

$92.8K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

81%

25 bps Increase

$219K 交易量

$49.4K Liq.

Ends 29 天内

Highest temperature in Chicago on May 13?

Highest temperature in Chicago on May 13?

35%

62-63°F

$55.3K 交易量

$62.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 8 小时内

What price will Solana hit May 11-17?

What price will Solana hit May 11-17?

44%

↑ 100

$40.7K 交易量

$128K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

XRP price on May 13?

XRP price on May 13?

90%

1.40-1.50

$25.5K 交易量

$83.9K Liq.

Ends 大约 12 小时内

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

76%

↑ $3.00

$162K 交易量

$81.8K Liq.

Ends 19 天内

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M 交易量

$156K Liq.

7

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 50号提案 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 468 个活跃的 50号提案 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Survivor 50 Winner"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $67.1M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Fed Decision in June?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Fed Decision in June?",市场目前认为 No change 的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 50号提案 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。