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胜利边际 预测与赔率

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Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

31%

Cepeda Castro 10-15%

$30.6K 交易量

$134K Liq.

Ends 7 天内

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

17%

Democrats 8-10%

$42.7K 交易量

$194K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

37%

Fujimori 0–4%

$5.3K 交易量

$90.9K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

49%

Labour Party 5-10%

$15.9K 交易量

$27.7K Liq.

Ends 6 天内

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

30%

Bass 10–15%

$28.6K 交易量

$70.7K Liq.

1

Ends 9 天内

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

54%

Lula da Silva <5%

$236K 交易量

$89.8K Liq.

10

Ends 4 个月内

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Gallrein 9%+

$187K 交易量

$42.4K Liq.

6

Ends 5 天前

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

91%

Paxton 9%+

$83.4K 交易量

$86.7K Liq.

1

Ends 1 天内

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

27%

Burnham 9%+

$11.2K 交易量

$33.4K Liq.

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

27%

Paxton 15–20%

$535 交易量

$55.9K Liq.

Ends 2 天内

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Ramaswamy 60-70%

$67.6K 交易量

$18.4K Liq.

2

Ends 19 天前

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

45%

National 5-10%

$0 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

StarCraft II: trigger vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

StarCraft II: trigger vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

Zoun

$819 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 个月前

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Malta

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Malta

Switzerland

$36.9K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 6 天内

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans

52%

Royal Challengers Bangalore

$175 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Ireland Women vs USA Women - Toss Match Double

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Ireland Women vs USA Women - Toss Match Double

-

$320 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Namibia Women vs USA Women - Toss Match Double

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Namibia Women vs USA Women - Toss Match Double

-

$86 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 4 个月前

Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$274 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 2 个月前

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs India Tigers

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs India Tigers

100%

India Tigers

$0 交易量

$3 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月前

Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars

Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars

51%

Mumbai Spartans

$946 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月前

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 胜利边际 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 112 个活跃的 胜利边际 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $748K 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory",市场目前认为 Lula da Silva <5% 的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 胜利边际 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。