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Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

39%

Fujimori 0–4%

$56.3K 交易量

$155K Liq.

Ends 8 天内

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

31%

Cepeda Castro 5-10%

$77.4K 交易量

$133K Liq.

Ends 大约 21 小时内

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

57%

Labour Party 5-10%

$21.8K 交易量

$12.8K Liq.

Ends 大约 3 小时前

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

25%

Bass 5–10%

$36.4K 交易量

$96.6K Liq.

1

Ends 3 天内

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

17%

Democrats 8-10%

$46.2K 交易量

$287K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

32%

Lula da Silva <5%

$237K 交易量

$96.1K Liq.

14

Ends 4 个月内

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

98%

Paxton 25–30%

$132K 交易量

$106K Liq.

4

Ends 4 天前

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

100%

Paxton 9%+

$250K 交易量

$137K Liq.

1

Ends 5 天前

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

38%

Chong Won-oh 3-6%

$6.4K 交易量

$66.2K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

2026 Incheon Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Incheon Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

47%

Park Chan-dae 10-20%

$1.7K 交易量

$13.1K Liq.

1

Ends 4 天内

2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

64%

Park Soo-hyun <10%

$3.0K 交易量

$40.9K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

26%

Burnham 9%+

$15.3K 交易量

$45.7K Liq.

2026 Daegu Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Daegu Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

62%

Choo Kyung-ho <10%

$435 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

33%

Becerra 5–10%

$339 交易量

$34.1K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

2026 Gangwon Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Gangwon Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

73%

Woo Sang-ho <10%

$329 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Ramaswamy 60-70%

$67.6K 交易量

$19.9K Liq.

3

Ends 25 天前

2026 Gyeonggi Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Gyeonggi Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

50%

Choo Mi-ae 20-30%

$271 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Gallrein 9%+

$189K 交易量

$36.6K Liq.

6

Ends 11 天前

2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

35%

Chun Jae-soo 5-10%

$205 交易量

$22.5K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

42%

National 5-10%

$0 交易量

$5.4K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 胜利边际 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 120 个活跃的 胜利边际 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $1.1M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory",市场目前认为 Paxton 9%+ 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 胜利边际 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。