How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?

How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?

100%

6-9

$800K 交易量

$27.8K Liq.

Ends 大约 19 小时前

US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

33%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$49.0K Liq.

52

Ends 9 个月内

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

22%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$26.9K Liq.

165

Ends 9 个月内

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

13%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$13.1K Liq.

57

Ends 2 个月前

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

20%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$15.3K Liq.

43

Ends 2 个月前

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

6%

$103K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 3 个月内

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

95%

June 30

$309K 交易量

$20.4K Liq.

6

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

6%

$1.3K 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

68%

April 24

$1.7K 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

Ends 19 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

56%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$13.4K Liq.

108

Ends 3 个月内

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

51%

December 31, 2026

$252K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

31

Ends 3 个月前

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

22%

$50.0K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

9

Ends 9 个月内

OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

36%

December 31, 2026

$1M 交易量

$27.7K Liq.

3

Ends 9 个月内

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 6 - 12?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 6 - 12?

51%

0

$12.6K 交易量

$20.8K Liq.

Ends 7 天内

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

89%

SpaceX

$7.3K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

5

Ends 超过 1 年内

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

78%

SpaceX

$58.1K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

1

Ends 超过 1 年内

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$15.9K Liq.

72

Ends 9 个月内

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

7%

$23.2K 交易量

$42.0K Liq.

6

Ends 9 个月内

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

85%

↑ $2.75

$324K 交易量

$72.4K Liq.

Ends 25 天内

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

8%

$3.2K 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 开源英特尔 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 1017 个活跃的 开源英特尔 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $17.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"US strike on Mexico by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"US strike on Mexico by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 22%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 开源英特尔 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。