Recent Israeli airstrikes on October 26 targeted Iranian military sites in retaliation for Iran's October 1 ballistic missile barrage against Israel, which the US helped intercept using THAAD systems and naval assets without direct offensive involvement. President Biden has stressed de-escalation, ruling out American ground troops and prioritizing diplomacy amid ongoing proxy clashes with Hezbollah, Houthis, and other Iran-backed groups. Formal US war declarations, absent since World War II, require congressional approval unlikely in a divided Congress focused on domestic issues and the November 5 presidential election. Traders eye escalation risks from further Iranian retaliation or nuclear program advances, though current signals favor restraint over outright conflict.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$4,265,083 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
3月31日
<1%
4月30日
2%
12月31日
10%
$4,265,083 交易量
3月31日
$3,933,537 交易量
<1%
4月30日
$30,948 交易量
2%
12月31日
$300,598 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Recent Israeli airstrikes on October 26 targeted Iranian military sites in retaliation for Iran's October 1 ballistic missile barrage against Israel, which the US helped intercept using THAAD systems and naval assets without direct offensive involvement. President Biden has stressed de-escalation, ruling out American ground troops and prioritizing diplomacy amid ongoing proxy clashes with Hezbollah, Houthis, and other Iran-backed groups. Formal US war declarations, absent since World War II, require congressional approval unlikely in a divided Congress focused on domestic issues and the November 5 presidential election. Traders eye escalation risks from further Iranian retaliation or nuclear program advances, though current signals favor restraint over outright conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$4,265,083结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Recent Israeli airstrikes on October 26 targeted Iranian military sites in retaliation for Iran's October 1 ballistic missile barrage against Israel, which the US helped intercept using THAAD systems and naval assets without direct offensive involvement. President Biden has stressed de-escalation, ruling out American ground troops and prioritizing diplomacy amid ongoing proxy clashes with Hezbollah, Houthis, and other Iran-backed groups. Formal US war declarations, absent since World War II, require congressional approval unlikely in a divided Congress focused on domestic issues and the November 5 presidential election. Traders eye escalation risks from further Iranian retaliation or nuclear program advances, though current signals favor restraint over outright conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$4,265,083结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli airstrikes on October 26 targeted Iranian military sites in retaliation for Iran's October 1 ballistic missile barrage against Israel, which the US helped intercept using THAAD systems and naval assets without direct offensive involvement. President Biden has stressed de-escalation, ruling out American ground troops and prioritizing diplomacy amid ongoing proxy clashes with Hezbollah, Houthis, and other Iran-backed groups. Formal US war declarations, absent since World War II, require congressional approval unlikely in a divided Congress focused on domestic issues and the November 5 presidential election. Traders eye escalation risks from further Iranian retaliation or nuclear program advances, though current signals favor restraint over outright conflict.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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