Despite more than 30 days of escalating US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran—killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026, and targeting nuclear and energy sites—no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, with the House and Senate rejecting war powers resolutions in early March to limit executive action. President Trump has described the campaign as a "war" while pursuing a 15-point de-escalation proposal via Pakistan and delaying strikes on power plants, signaling potential talks amid Iranian threats against US officials. Trader consensus reflects historical precedent: the US last declared war in World War II, favoring authorizations for use of military force or presidential orders instead. Upcoming congressional funding votes and ground operation deliberations could influence dynamics, but structural barriers keep formal declaration odds low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$4,840,638 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
<1%
4月30日
2%
12月31日
10%
$4,840,638 交易量
3月31日
$4,378,529 交易量
<1%
4月30日
$156,474 交易量
2%
12月31日
$305,634 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite more than 30 days of escalating US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran—killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026, and targeting nuclear and energy sites—no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, with the House and Senate rejecting war powers resolutions in early March to limit executive action. President Trump has described the campaign as a "war" while pursuing a 15-point de-escalation proposal via Pakistan and delaying strikes on power plants, signaling potential talks amid Iranian threats against US officials. Trader consensus reflects historical precedent: the US last declared war in World War II, favoring authorizations for use of military force or presidential orders instead. Upcoming congressional funding votes and ground operation deliberations could influence dynamics, but structural barriers keep formal declaration odds low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$4,840,638结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite more than 30 days of escalating US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran—killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026, and targeting nuclear and energy sites—no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, with the House and Senate rejecting war powers resolutions in early March to limit executive action. President Trump has described the campaign as a "war" while pursuing a 15-point de-escalation proposal via Pakistan and delaying strikes on power plants, signaling potential talks amid Iranian threats against US officials. Trader consensus reflects historical precedent: the US last declared war in World War II, favoring authorizations for use of military force or presidential orders instead. Upcoming congressional funding votes and ground operation deliberations could influence dynamics, but structural barriers keep formal declaration odds low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$4,840,638结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite more than 30 days of escalating US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran—killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026, and targeting nuclear and energy sites—no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, with the House and Senate rejecting war powers resolutions in early March to limit executive action. President Trump has described the campaign as a "war" while pursuing a 15-point de-escalation proposal via Pakistan and delaying strikes on power plants, signaling potential talks amid Iranian threats against US officials. Trader consensus reflects historical precedent: the US last declared war in World War II, favoring authorizations for use of military force or presidential orders instead. Upcoming congressional funding votes and ground operation deliberations could influence dynamics, but structural barriers keep formal declaration odds low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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