Russian forces continue probing assaults east of Dobropillia near Vilne and southeast near Novyi Donbas as part of a broader spring offensive in Donetsk Oblast, but Institute for the Study of War assessments confirm no territorial advances as of April 2, with Ukrainian positions holding firm. Ukrainian reconnaissance units, including Azov Brigade, captured Russian troops during clearance operations near the city on March 28 and earlier in March, leveraging drone strikes to inflict heavy casualties on small infantry groups amid a lack of armored support. General Staff reported 230 frontline clashes on April 3, including the Dobropillia sector. No verified entry into Dobropillia has occurred, though sustained pressure persists without imminent diplomatic shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$79,413 交易量
4月30日
4%
$79,413 交易量
4月30日
4%
This market refers to the city of Dobropillia (48.47, 37.08), which borders Sviatohorivka and Hannivka. Other Ukrainian towns/cities named Dobropillia will not be considered for resolution.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Dobropillia is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Feb 19, 2026, 8:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market refers to the city of Dobropillia (48.47, 37.08), which borders Sviatohorivka and Hannivka. Other Ukrainian towns/cities named Dobropillia will not be considered for resolution.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Dobropillia is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue probing assaults east of Dobropillia near Vilne and southeast near Novyi Donbas as part of a broader spring offensive in Donetsk Oblast, but Institute for the Study of War assessments confirm no territorial advances as of April 2, with Ukrainian positions holding firm. Ukrainian reconnaissance units, including Azov Brigade, captured Russian troops during clearance operations near the city on March 28 and earlier in March, leveraging drone strikes to inflict heavy casualties on small infantry groups amid a lack of armored support. General Staff reported 230 frontline clashes on April 3, including the Dobropillia sector. No verified entry into Dobropillia has occurred, though sustained pressure persists without imminent diplomatic shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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