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政治·名人

谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？

Market icon
政治·名人

谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？

$429,490 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$429,490 交易量

Polymarket
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唐·莱蒙

$6 交易量

42%

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马克·凯利

$4,969 交易量

20%

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乔什·霍利

$3,375 交易量

19%

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安迪·贝希尔

$4,419 交易量

17%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$0 交易量

18%

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皮特·布蒂吉格

$4,782 交易量

16%

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史蒂夫·班农

$8,882 交易量

16%

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J.D.万斯

$13,943 交易量

15%

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兰德·保罗

$0 交易量

15%

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布莱恩·坎普

$1,070 交易量

15%

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图尔西·加巴德

$3,743 交易量

14%

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J.B.普利茨克

$2,171 交易量

16%

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坎迪斯·欧文斯

$0 交易量

14%

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塔克·卡尔森

$5,485 交易量

14%

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妮基·黑利

$1,655 交易量

14%

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泰德·克鲁兹

$11,046 交易量

14%

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贾里德·波利斯

$0 交易量

13%

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凯蒂·布里特

$0 交易量

13%

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杨安泽

$7,709 交易量

13%

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约翰·费特曼

$4,166 交易量

13%

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克里斯蒂·诺姆

$0 交易量

12%

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亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

$27,953 交易量

12%

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伊丽莎白·斯特凡尼克

$1,767 交易量

12%

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加文·纽森

$43,988 交易量

12%

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韦斯·摩尔

$5,221 交易量

12%

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萨拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$3,655 交易量

12%

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科里·布克

$10,296 交易量

11%

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拉姆·伊曼纽尔

$5,894 交易量

11%

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玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

$13,623 交易量

11%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,126 交易量

11%

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格伦·杨金

$0 交易量

11%

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吉娜·雷蒙多

$0 交易量

11%

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斯蒂芬·A·史密斯

$14,205 交易量

11%

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乔恩·奥索夫

$1,309 交易量

11%

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卡玛拉·哈里斯

$13,230 交易量

11%

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约翰·图恩

$2,246 交易量

11%

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罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$956 交易量

10%

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德维恩·“岩石”·约翰逊

$0 交易量

10%

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贝托·奥洛克

$5,626 交易量

10%

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迈克·彭斯

$11,172 交易量

10%

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小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪

$5,879 交易量

10%

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拜伦·唐纳兹

$5,447 交易量

10%

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马可·鲁比奥

$3,795 交易量

9%

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唐纳德·特朗普二世

$0 交易量

9%

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格雷格·阿博特

$1,726 交易量

9%

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乔治·克鲁尼

$0 交易量

9%

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唐纳德·特朗普

$7,674 交易量

8%

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马克·库班

$1,353 交易量

8%

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利兹·切尼

$79 交易量

8%

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金·卡戴珊

$0 交易量

8%

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乔恩·斯图尔特

$0 交易量

8%

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奥普拉·温弗瑞

$0 交易量

8%

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切尔西·克林顿

$4,416 交易量

8%

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汤姆·布雷迪

$8,107 交易量

8%

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蒂姆·沃尔兹

$3,623 交易量

8%

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罗伊·库珀

$3,405 交易量

7%

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马特·盖茨

$2,377 交易量

7%

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伯尼·桑德斯

$2,218 交易量

7%

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希拉里·克林顿

$7,266 交易量

7%

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拉斐尔·沃诺克

$1,702 交易量

7%

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乔什·沙皮罗

$4,957 交易量

7%

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菲尔·墨菲

$0 交易量

12%

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埃隆·马斯克

$7,236 交易量

6%

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埃丽卡·柯克

$7,212 交易量

5%

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伊万卡·特朗普

$13,198 交易量

5%

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亨特·拜登

$22,554 交易量

5%

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米歇尔·奥巴马

$10,607 交易量

4%

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贝拉克·奥巴马

$4,197 交易量

4%

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佐赫兰·曼达尼

$21,488 交易量

4%

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MrBeast

$20,181 交易量

3%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$14,105 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no major politicians having formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns as of April 2026—despite over 300 fringe FEC filings—trader sentiment hinges on early signals amid President Trump's term limit under the 22nd Amendment. Vice President J.D. Vance leads Republican straw polls, including a recent North Dakota GOP win, buoyed by his administration role and America First alignment, while Democrats eye governors like Gavin Newsom amid policy clashes such as California's Medicare fraud probes. Former CNN anchor Don Lemon surged in buzz after stating on a podcast he is open to running, marking the freshest exploratory move. November 2026 midterms loom as a pivotal catalyst, potentially elevating performers in battleground states via turnout and endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$429,490
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no major politicians having formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns as of April 2026—despite over 300 fringe FEC filings—trader sentiment hinges on early signals amid President Trump's term limit under the 22nd Amendment. Vice President J.D. Vance leads Republican straw polls, including a recent North Dakota GOP win, buoyed by his administration role and America First alignment, while Democrats eye governors like Gavin Newsom amid policy clashes such as California's Medicare fraud probes. Former CNN anchor Don Lemon surged in buzz after stating on a podcast he is open to running, marking the freshest exploratory move. November 2026 midterms loom as a pivotal catalyst, potentially elevating performers in battleground states via turnout and endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$429,490
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 71+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"唐·莱蒙"，概率为 42%，其次是"马克·凯利"，概率为 20%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 42¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 42%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"已产生 $429.5K 的总交易量（自Nov 20, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 71+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"的当前领先者是"唐·莱蒙"，概率为 42%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 42%。紧随其后的结果是"马克·凯利"，概率为 20%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。