Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's historical dominance—12 titles including four of the last six—and Spain's commanding Euro 2024 victory, which highlighted the continent's depth in talent from powerhouses like France, England, Germany, and Portugal amid ongoing Nations League action. South America trails at 21.5%, buoyed by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs in 2024 and 2021, plus their 2022 World Cup win, though CONMEBOL qualifying shows Brazil's shaky start with recent draws. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's semifinal run in 2022 and Olympic silver, but limited depth persists; North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) face steep barriers despite expanded 48-team format and host boosts for CONCACAF, as no non-UEFA/CONMEBOL side has ever won.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于欧洲 70%
南美洲 22%
非洲 4.0%
北美 2.4%
$1,299,419 交易量
$1,299,419 交易量
欧洲
70%
南美洲
22%
非洲
4%
北美
2%
亚洲
2%
大洋洲
<1%
欧洲 70%
南美洲 22%
非洲 4.0%
北美 2.4%
$1,299,419 交易量
$1,299,419 交易量
欧洲
$39,791 交易量
70%
南美洲
$21,275 交易量
22%
非洲
$909,139 交易量
4%
北美
$156,384 交易量
2%
亚洲
$0 交易量
2%
大洋洲
$172,830 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's historical dominance—12 titles including four of the last six—and Spain's commanding Euro 2024 victory, which highlighted the continent's depth in talent from powerhouses like France, England, Germany, and Portugal amid ongoing Nations League action. South America trails at 21.5%, buoyed by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs in 2024 and 2021, plus their 2022 World Cup win, though CONMEBOL qualifying shows Brazil's shaky start with recent draws. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's semifinal run in 2022 and Olympic silver, but limited depth persists; North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) face steep barriers despite expanded 48-team format and host boosts for CONCACAF, as no non-UEFA/CONMEBOL side has ever won.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
交易量
$1,299,419市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's historical dominance—12 titles including four of the last six—and Spain's commanding Euro 2024 victory, which highlighted the continent's depth in talent from powerhouses like France, England, Germany, and Portugal amid ongoing Nations League action. South America trails at 21.5%, buoyed by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs in 2024 and 2021, plus their 2022 World Cup win, though CONMEBOL qualifying shows Brazil's shaky start with recent draws. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's semifinal run in 2022 and Olympic silver, but limited depth persists; North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) face steep barriers despite expanded 48-team format and host boosts for CONCACAF, as no non-UEFA/CONMEBOL side has ever won.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,299,419市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's historical dominance—12 titles including four of the last six—and Spain's commanding Euro 2024 victory, which highlighted the continent's depth in talent from powerhouses like France, England, Germany, and Portugal amid ongoing Nations League action. South America trails at 21.5%, buoyed by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs in 2024 and 2021, plus their 2022 World Cup win, though CONMEBOL qualifying shows Brazil's shaky start with recent draws. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's semifinal run in 2022 and Olympic silver, but limited depth persists; North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) face steep barriers despite expanded 48-team format and host boosts for CONCACAF, as no non-UEFA/CONMEBOL side has ever won.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题