Market icon
政治·Big Beautiful Bill

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

Market icon
政治·Big Beautiful Bill

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

July 1-6 99.8%

July 21-27 <1%

Aug 4-10 <1%

Aug 25-31 <1%

Polymarket

$273,877 交易量

July 1-6 99.8%

July 21-27 <1%

Aug 4-10 <1%

Aug 25-31 <1%

Polymarket

$273,877 交易量

Before July

$92,174 交易量

No

July 1-6

$41,803 交易量

Yes

July 7-13

$14,182 交易量

No

July 14-20

$14,569 交易量

No

July 21-27

$17,873 交易量

No

July 28-Aug 3

$13,091 交易量

No

Aug 4-10

$17,848 交易量

No

Aug 11-17

$9,868 交易量

No

Aug 18-24

$20,620 交易量

No

Aug 25-31

$15,635 交易量

No

Not before September

$16,212 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress. The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress.

The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.

The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$273,877
结束日期
2025-06-30
市场开放时间
May 20, 2025, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress. The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress. The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress.

The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.

The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$273,877
结束日期
2025-06-30
市场开放时间
May 20, 2025, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress. The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"When will the reconciliation bill pass?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"July 1-6"，概率为 100%，其次是"Before July"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"When will the reconciliation bill pass?"已产生 $273.9K 的总交易量（自May 20, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"When will the reconciliation bill pass?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"When will the reconciliation bill pass?"的当前领先者是"July 1-6"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Before July"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"When will the reconciliation bill pass?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。