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What will the Margin of Victory be in the Georgia runoff?

$256,272 交易量

Dec 6, 2022

规则

In the 2022 midterm election for United States Senator from Georgia, no candidate received a majority of votes. This has triggered a run-off election between the two candidates who received the greatest number of votes: Raphael Warnock (Democrat) and Herschel Walker (Republican).

The runoff election for US Senator from Georgia is scheduled for December 6, 2022.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory in the runoff election for US Senator from Georgia is 2.5% or greater. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by each candidate in the election. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates.

For example, if Candidate A receives 53% of the votes, and Candidate B receives 47% of the votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (|Candidate A% - Candidate B%| = Margin of Victory).

Determination of the margin of victory in the Georgia Senate runoff election will be based on official election results (e.g. https://sos.ga.gov/).
交易量
$256,272
结束日期
Dec 6, 2022
创建时间
Nov 17, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
In the 2022 midterm election for United States Senator from Georgia, no candidate received a majority of votes. This has triggered a run-off election between the two candidates who received the greatest number of votes: Raphael Warnock (Democrat) and Herschel Walker (Republican). The runoff election for US Senator from Georgia is scheduled for December 6, 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory in the runoff election for US Senator from Georgia is 2.5% or greater. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by each candidate in the election. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates. For example, if Candidate A receives 53% of the votes, and Candidate B receives 47% of the votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (|Candidate A% - Candidate B%| = Margin of Victory). Determination of the margin of victory in the Georgia Senate runoff election will be based on official election results (e.g. https://sos.ga.gov/).

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

What will the Margin of Victory be in the Georgia runoff?

$256,272 交易量

Market icon

2.5%+

$194,683 交易量

Yes

Market icon

5.0%+

$61,589 交易量

No

关于

交易量
$256,272
结束日期
Dec 6, 2022
创建时间
Nov 17, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。