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政治·Navalny

What will Biden say during State of the Union?

Market icon
政治·Navalny

What will Biden say during State of the Union?

$76,519 交易量

2024-03-06
Polymarket

$76,519 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Trump

$10,502 交易量

No

Market icon

Folks 4 or more times

$22,245 交易量

Yes

Market icon

China/Chinese 3 or more times

$2,401 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Border 3 or more times

$4,427 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Ukraine/Ukranian 3 or more times

$3,898 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Bitcoin

$6,290 交易量

No

Market icon

Ceasefire

$2,833 交易量

Yes

Market icon

AI/Artificial Intelligence

$8,040 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Fentanyl

$2,217 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Navalny

$3,754 交易量

No

Market icon

Putin

$1,560 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Hunter

$4,366 交易量

No

Market icon

Moon

$3,986 交易量

No

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes." If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "China" or "Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ukraine" or "Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed words, regardless of the context of their usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Navalny" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Putin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If Biden just says "Vladimir" it will not count for this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Hunter" or "hunter" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Update: Hyphenated compound words will count - non-hyphenated compound words will not count. For example, “Chinese-made” will count as saying “Chinese”, but “moonshot” will not count as saying “moon”. If it is unclear whether Biden said a compound/hyphenated word, the transcript will be used. Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Moon" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes."

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$76,519
结束日期
2024-03-07
市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2024, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes." If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes." If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "China" or "Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ukraine" or "Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed words, regardless of the context of their usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Navalny" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Putin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If Biden just says "Vladimir" it will not count for this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Hunter" or "hunter" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Update: Hyphenated compound words will count - non-hyphenated compound words will not count. For example, “Chinese-made” will count as saying “Chinese”, but “moonshot” will not count as saying “moon”. If it is unclear whether Biden said a compound/hyphenated word, the transcript will be used. Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Moon" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes."

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$76,519
结束日期
2024-03-07
市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2024, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes." If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"What will Biden say during State of the Union?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Folks 4 or more times"，概率为 100%，其次是" China/Chinese 3 or more times"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"What will Biden say during State of the Union?"已产生 $76.5K 的总交易量（自Mar 6, 2024市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"What will Biden say during State of the Union?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"What will Biden say during State of the Union?"的当前领先者是"Folks 4 or more times"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是" China/Chinese 3 or more times"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"What will Biden say during State of the Union?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。