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政治·台湾选举

Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

Market icon
政治·台湾选举

Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

$3,786,537 交易量

Jan 13, 2024
Polymarket

$3,786,537 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Lai Ching-te (賴清德)

$1,809,554 交易量

Yes

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Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜)

$620,032 交易量

No

Market icon

Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)

$1,356,952 交易量

No

The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lai Ching-te (賴清德) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$3,786,537
结束日期
Jan 13, 2024
市场开放时间
Oct 26, 2023, 4:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lai Ching-te (賴清德) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Lai Ching-te (賴清德)"，概率为 100%，其次是"Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜)"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?"已产生 $3.8 million 的总交易量（自Oct 26, 2023市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?"的当前领先者是"Lai Ching-te (賴清德)"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜)"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。