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Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

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Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

卡特琳娜·特劳特曼 100.0%

让-菲利普·韦特 <1%

让娜·巴塞吉安 <1%

Polymarket

$127,924 交易量

卡特琳娜·特劳特曼 100.0%

让-菲利普·韦特 <1%

让娜·巴塞吉安 <1%

Polymarket

$127,924 交易量

Market icon

让-菲利普·韦特

$6,010 交易量

Market icon

让娜·巴塞吉安

$40,469 交易量

Market icon

卡特琳娜·特劳特曼

$81,445 交易量

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Catherine Trautmann's commanding 99.9% trader consensus stems from her official victory in Strasbourg's municipal elections second round on March 22, 2026, where her Socialist-led list secured 37% of votes to win a majority of council seats against incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian (31.7%) and center-right challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. Leading the first round on March 15 with strong left-center support, Trautmann's comeback after 25 years capitalized on voter dissatisfaction with the outgoing administration amid high abstention rates. Official results certified by the Ministry of the Interior have solidified market pricing, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty. Only an extraordinary legal challenge, recount anomaly, or certification reversal—none currently evident—could alter this outcome before council installation.

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$127,924
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

已提议结果: 是

有争议

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Catherine Trautmann's commanding 99.9% trader consensus stems from her official victory in Strasbourg's municipal elections second round on March 22, 2026, where her Socialist-led list secured 37% of votes to win a majority of council seats against incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian (31.7%) and center-right challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. Leading the first round on March 15 with strong left-center support, Trautmann's comeback after 25 years capitalized on voter dissatisfaction with the outgoing administration amid high abstention rates. Official results certified by the Ministry of the Interior have solidified market pricing, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty. Only an extraordinary legal challenge, recount anomaly, or certification reversal—none currently evident—could alter this outcome before council installation.

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$127,924
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

已提议结果: 是

有争议

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"卡特琳娜·特劳特曼",概率为 100%,其次是"让-菲利普·韦特",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner"已产生 $127.9K 的总交易量(自Mar 19, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner"的当前领先者是"卡特琳娜·特劳特曼",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"让-菲利普·韦特",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。